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Why Gonzaga has the pieces to go undefeated - a player analytics thread:
Main points:
- Gonzaga with 3 players in top 10 in BPR, 6 in top 50
- Team's offensive rating is historically elite
- Doesn't rely on one guy
This is all based on analytics here
http://EvanMiya.com
Main points:
- Gonzaga with 3 players in top 10 in BPR, 6 in top 50
- Team's offensive rating is historically elite
- Doesn't rely on one guy
This is all based on analytics here
http://EvanMiya.com
Gonzaga has three players in the top 10 in Bayesian Performance Rating, which is rare. They are:
3. Drew Timme
4. Corey Kispert
8. Jalen Suggs
In the last 5 years, only Nova in 2018 (champs) and KU in 2020 (champ favorites) had three players in the top 10.
3. Drew Timme
4. Corey Kispert
8. Jalen Suggs
In the last 5 years, only Nova in 2018 (champs) and KU in 2020 (champ favorites) had three players in the top 10.
Gonzaga's depth is also ludicrous. Their six main role players are all in the top 50 in BPR.
In the last 5 years, only Nova in 2018 had six in the top 50, and they won the title.
Here's the roster rankings:
3. Timme
4. Kispert
8. Suggs
26. Nembhard
41. Ayayi
48. Watson
In the last 5 years, only Nova in 2018 had six in the top 50, and they won the title.
Here's the roster rankings:
3. Timme
4. Kispert
8. Suggs
26. Nembhard
41. Ayayi
48. Watson
As a team, Gonzaga has an Offensive Bayesian Performance Rating of 76.1, which is not only 1st in the nation, but the highest OBPR in the last five years besides VIllanova in 2018 (as I said before, they won it all).
Gonzaga has the offensive tools to consistently beat anyone.
Gonzaga has the offensive tools to consistently beat anyone.
Gonzaga doesn't rely on any one player, and doesn't have any weaknesses in their top six players.
Jalen Suggs leads the team in Team Efficiency Margin, with Gonzaga outscoring opponents by 36 points per 100 possessions with him on the floor. Ayayi is a close second.
Jalen Suggs leads the team in Team Efficiency Margin, with Gonzaga outscoring opponents by 36 points per 100 possessions with him on the floor. Ayayi is a close second.
Looking at most effective teammate pairs, Joel Ayayi is in four of the top five pairs. When Suggs and Ayayi are on the floor, Gonzaga is outscoring opponents by 47.9 points per 100 possessions. On the lower end, the Ayayi / Cook duo are being outscored by 8.4 PP100.
Gonzaga has two lineups they use most, both of which have Suggs, Ayayi, Kispert, and Timme, with either Nembhard or Watson. The lineup with Suggs has been slightly better so far, but there's not much separation. Lineups with Aaron Cook take a dip in offensive production.
Jalen Suggs doesn't just put up good numbers, but he makes every teammate better when he's on the court. Each Gonzaga teammate is performing above his individual averages when on the court with Suggs, as seen by the Above/Below Average metric.
Dive into the metrics yourself at http://EvanMiya.com .
