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Trevor Bedford
trvrb
A follow up to yesterday's controversial thread on societal behavior, population immunity and Rt to specifically address issue of what fraction of the population in Florida, Texas and Arizona may
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I wanted to discuss the degree to which population immunity may be contributing to curbing #COVID19 in Florida, Arizona and Texas, where recent surges have resulted in substantial epidemics. 1/16
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With @CDCgov's update to their seroprevalence results across sites in the US, it's possible to see if with increased availability in testing whether we're catching a larger fraction of infections
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It's abundantly clear that societal behavior strongly impacts #COVID19 spread. We saw this early on where social distancing resulted in significant reductions to epidemic spread. With the surge of cases
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A follow up to the thread two weeks ago on rising case counts and "reopening", looking at continued trajectories in states with large epidemics. 1/15https://twitter.com/trvrb/status/1279187556106723333 When looking at epidemic dyn
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I know all the discussion is about a possible "2nd wave", but I've found this odd given that we haven't finished the first one. I would think quite possible that,
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A small follow up to the "long plateau" assessment of the #COVID19 epidemic. When I tweeted this on April 30, we had ~30k daily confirmed cases and ~2000 daily deaths.
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As many have noted, there has been an uptick in confirmed #COVID19 cases in multiple states starting roughly at the beginning of June. There is a major question surrounding how
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