#Scenarios

MultifractelFarol

Mephisto731

Threads to take to your mind off things, something more interesting I hope. Part 1. Tail risk, done cleanly, is pure convexity and no beta. You’re looking for cheap optionality.

Totalista

totalista2

Here’s my take on why perfecting the process over grinding results is a more rationally sound approach: Let’s first address that there are no absolutes in approaches to football..... It’s

Axios

axios

The chances of sporadic violence, significant unrest or voting issues heading into Election Day are quite high.But all of us — Democrats, Republicans, independents alike — can do our part

Trisha Radia

trisha_radia

Last of the #LSPvirtualcommunicarionsim for 2020 and lots of great learning. 1. Invest in good role players like @PRP_ltd and arrange a detailed pre brief with all the actors prior

The Ubiquitous Miss Heywood

ubiquitous_miss

I am a Senior Litigation Paralegal & I work a lot... so here are some of my workday scenarios, as told through Sanditon GIFs. (a/k/a the most boring thread ever)#Sanditon

Greg Muttitt

FuelOnTheFire

I've been asked whether @Shell's new #NetZero plan is credible. Not at all IMO.@BP's last year, though imperfect, was credible for simple reason that it committed to reduce oil &

Mieke "18 USC 2383" Eoyang

MiekeEoyang

Okay. Let's take a deep breath here. I too have a tendency for worst case scenarios, but the one below is VERY unlikely.Was just talking it through last night with

Cory Doctorow #BLM

doctorow

The looming climate emergency will actually be a mesh of mutually accelerating emergencies: droughts, fires and famines; pandemics; mass extinctions; floods and erosion; and all of this will drive waves

Riki ❆ art and fic

rikichie_

Anxious but I guess I'm getting kind of tired of asking myself who will stay and who won't. So I think I'll share my view on "problematic" fic and art.

Matthew Mercer

matthewmercer

#criticalrolespoilers#criticalroleSeeing some VERY weird conversation about planned “aging” of characters and the like... which is very much not the case? A randomly rolled encounter combined with unexpected player choices makes

Deepti Gurdasani

dgurdasani1

Modelling preprint from LSHTM published showing that in almost all scenarios, opening schools at this point in England without additional mitigation results in R rising above 1, and exponential rises

Mark Butt (MarquisMark)

MarkusButticus

Don't feel like I've played it enough to write a full-on review so, after a week of streams, here are some of my impressions of @FFGames' The Rise of Red

Glen Peters

Peters_Glen

THREAD: A critical look at baseline scenariosI did a presentation for the @Tekna group on Energy, Industry, & Environment.Presentation: https://www.slideshare.net/GlenPeters_CICERO/a-critical-look-at-baseline-climate-scenariosVideo: htt

Glen Peters

Peters_Glen

THREAD: What is the latest in climate?Concentrations of CO₂, CH₄, & N₂O continued to increase in 2019 & 2020, reaching 150%, 260%, & 120% above pre-industrial. https://public.wmo.int/en/resources/united_in_science 2. Preli

Alfie Stirling

alfie_stirling

More meticulous, clever & hugely helpful work (in the main) from @JamesSmithRF and @resfoundation team yesterday.But found the logic on consolidation -- and the rationale that gets to £40bn in

Dr Ben Hine

drbahine

Publication AlertEarlier this year, @DrLizBates @Kealey_Psych and a former student Ledja Noku and I had a paper published in the Journal of Interpersonal Violence which explored undergraduates' judgements of bidirectional

By continuing to use the site, you are consenting to the use of cookies as explained in our Cookie Policy to improve your experience.