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#Vallance
Lewis Goodall
lewis_goodall
Vallance says the models produced “are not forecasts, they’re models which tell you how things can look. But they’re not forecasts and they should be looked at knowing that. Hmm.
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Lewis Goodall
lewis_goodall
Patrick Vallance: "Will there be subsequent waves? By definition it's an unknown, everyone I've spoken to thinks it's highly likely that this disease will continue to circulate and come back
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Ian Lyne
lyne_ian
"We want to suppress it, not get rid of it completely, which you can't do anyway, and allow enough of us, who are going to mild illness, to become immune
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John Rentoul
JohnRentoul
Greg Clark, chair of science select cttee, is a model of clarity, questioning Vallance & Whitty https://www.parliamentlive.tv/Event/Index/8bbb6325-cbfe-4025-9be9-5f50bc220c73 Clark points out it's not really "optional" adv
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Stephen Nickless
NicklessStephen
Watching Science and technology committee live. MPs’ questions show that they really struggle to understand data, modelling and COVID. Whitty and Vallance are very patient and clear in what they
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Alex Andreou
sturdyAlex
More importantly, what the Cummings SAGE story reveals is that Downing St believes the sewage is beginning to splash the Prime Minister's feet. As I explained on the @bunker_pod two
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Adam Hamdy
adamhamdy
1. Boris Johnson’s answer to this question demonstrates he is ill equipped to handle this crisis. I don’t know a single public health expert, scientist or clinician who has advocated
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Robin Monotti
robinmonotti
THE REAL REASON THEY ARE BANNING ALCOHOL? "Mouthwashes eradicate COVID-19 infectivity - mouthwashes containing less than 23% ethanol [ALCOHOL] had no effect on viral infectivity"https://hospitalhealthcare.com/covid-19/mouthwashes-
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Giles Wilkes
Gilesyb
OK, I have tried to model this more, and the bottom line is: without a test and trace system that absolutely jumps on rising cases when the number of cases
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Helen Simpson
hormone_doc
BMA are not vaccine experts or running Covid public health response for the UK population. It maybe good to debate but imo we shouldn’t undermine Vallance Whitty et al when
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Toby Young
toadmeister
1/ I’ve been thinking about this 4,000-deaths-a-day claim made by Whitty and Vallance on Saturday. If we assume an IFR of 0.25% (Ioannidis), that means there would have to be
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Pippa Crerar
PippaCrerar
NEW Boris Johnson reveals the new more infectious "Kent" variant also has a higher degree of mortality. Sir Patrick Vallance says new variant is 30-70% more transmissible than old variant
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Coronavirus good news
Coronavirusgoo1
A short good news thread. Happy Friday.(1/5) Zoe Covid app has estimated daily new cases have fallen to 49k, nearly 30% below the recent peak.(2/5) The 7 day average of
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Rich
RockboltG
Absolutely love the reply from Chris Whitty to this MP trying to steer him into a political trap of saying the government were wrong not to do a "circuit breaker"
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Lewis Goodall
lewis_goodall
Chris Whitty, writing in The Sunday Times says “The NHS is facing the most dangerous situation anyone can remember.” Says the service risks being overwhelmed in a fortnight and “Hospitals
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Ed Conway
EdConwaySky
How does one reconcile this with the fact that case growth was actually SLOWER than in that "worst case scenario" (on basis of pretty much every measure inc @ONS survey)?As
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