#Rates

COVID Impact

CovidSerology

New serology from Iran suggesting very high attack rates by early June in several cities. Interestingly, the serology data matches calculated AR from excess mortality data from late Sept. Note:

Kim Siever

kim_siever

Have you ever seen people claim that Indigenous people are lazy, that if they just worked harder and applied themselves, they could pull themselves out of the cycle of poverty?This

Olivier Blanchard

ojblanchard1

Some quick reactions to the new lockdowns in Europe. 1. The degree of uncertainty is much higher than in the first wave. In the first wave, the (incorrect) belief was

Sam🔔

sam_a_bell

Spent most of the Trump presidency pushing for more aggressive fiscal and monetary policy to tighten labor markets. Caught some flak for it, especially when this (https://www.nytimes.com/2019/06/12/business/economy/federal-reserve-rates-emp

Macro Partners

MacroPartners

Funding rates are high, when speculative demand is high, and subsequent returns are--on average--lower. But why is that? Thread on perpetual swap funding rates explaining (a) why it swings so

Elliot Haspel

ehaspel

Um? Assuming best intentions, this is at least a misunderstanding of the questions “to what extent do schools independently contribute to Covid transmission?” vs. “how much do community spread rates

Bill Gardner

Bill_Gardner

1 | Election polling failed in 2020, the most striking example being perhaps the failure of any poll to predict Susan Collins' re-election.Unfortunately, the problem with surveys affects more than

ViolenceWonks (Jack Rozel & Layla Soliman)

ViolenceWonks

1/3 Argh. "Suicide figures are up 200% since lockdown." is blowing up my timeline. I have seen no evidence for this in the US. An editorial today in @bmj_latest says

Dr. Chris Mackie

Healthmac

I am getting a lot of questions about why I am not using my powers as Medical Officer of Health to make mask use mandatory in public, particularly in light

Chamath Palihapitiya

chamath

Some people scratch their heads when they see valuations of stocks justified by 2024E or 2025E numbers. Their instinctive reaction is to be dismissive but that’s lazy thinking.Here’s a secret

Michael M. 🇨🇭🇳🇴🇮🇸🇱🇮🇬🇧

vivamjm

From ebay this morningFrom 1 January 2021, eBay will be legally required to begin collecting and remitting VAT for UK imports. From that date, eBay will have to charge buyers

Sheila Bair

SheilaBair2013

This idea that we can enjoy virtually unlimited spending when interest rates are so low ignores the risk that all that debt may need to be refinanced at a higher

HA

ArifHozef

"High Yield" or Junk Bond Yields - Why so low? Lot of sensationalist headlines on the yield in the HY market falling below 4% , an all time low. While

Kelly Doran MD MHS

KellyMDoran

San Diego here is demonstrating a troubling attribution / statistical interpretation error I've seen more and more -- people are declaring "success" of their homelessness initiatives based on comparing rates

Dangbana Orisa Skrrr

Adheydayor

The CBN is ridiculous. People are using "unofficial" remittance channels because they have a policy regulating conversion rates for IMTOs when the parallel market premium is N80-100/$. How many people

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realchasecurtis

EMAIL 001Subject lines are everything. Email marketing has been around since 1978. To break away from the competition, you’ll have to get creative.You should try to:+ Build Curiosity+ Poke Fun+

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