#BAYES

Luca

LucaAmb

1/?) Since a lot of you liked my book suggesting, I decided to make a short thread about the difference between frequentism and Bayesianism. Enjoy! 2/?) In frequntist statistics, observations

Friederike Ernst

tw_tter

I would like to talk about antibody tests. There are too many people in my bubble who don't understand why a specificity of say 95% doesn't mean 95% of people

10-K Diver

10kdiver

1/Get a cup of coffee.In this thread, I'll help you understand the basics of Estimation Theory. 2/Life is a series of random events.Estimation theory is the science of figuring out

Jon Deeks

deeksj

How well is the Innova test working in Liverpool? This is a speculative calculation informed by data available from Liverpool. The source is the Liverpool mayor - reported 23,170 tests

Anthony Costello

globalhlthtwit

Scientific models vary according to the assumptions made. Compare here the projections for Covid19 deaths under four different epidemiological models (Imperial, LSHTM, Warwick, and Public Health England/Cambridge) and the dynamic

ロコちゃん - hereticalupdate.substack.com

RokoMijicUK

Some people are complaining that #Rationality is turning into a new progressive religion. There is an element of truth to this, but it's also badly wrong. Let me start with

Dennis Ulmer

dnnslmr

I am thrilled to announce that "Trust Issues: Uncertainty Estimation Does Not Enable Reliable OOD Detection On Medical Tabular Data" w/ L. Meijerink and @CinaGiovanni got accepted to @NeurIPSConf's #ml4h

Yardley Yeadon

MichaelYeadon3

The trend fit respiratory viruses is to become more transmissible but less lethal over time. Viruses which kill their hosts are statistically less selected for in survival terms. While anything

Daniël Lakens

lakens

New preprint: Group Sequential Designs: A Tutorial https://psyarxiv.com/x4azm Friedrich Pahlke, Gernot Wassmer, and myself explain how to design and report sequential designs using rpact. The rpact shiny app is a

Ed Yong

edyong209

I’m really grateful to everyone who read the big new cover story this week. If you’ve liked my work, perhaps you’ll also like the work that I like. Here are

Hygiène Mentale

HygieneMentale

Je vous propose un petit exercice de pensée critique.Imaginons que vous n'ayez absolument aucune idée apriori de la fiabilité de ce train.Vous l'empruntez 15 fois,et il arrive en retard 15

mathfrak{Michael "Shapes Dude" Betancourt}

betanalpha

A short thread on what I think is particularly useful intuition for the application of computational statistics. Deterministic methods, like variational Bayes, utilize _rigid_ approximations. Ultimately these methods try to

Eli Tyre

EpistemicHope

Culturally, I am clearly part of the "Yudkowsky cluster". And as near as I can tell, Bayes is actually the true foundation of epistemology.But my personal PRACTICE is much closer

Diego A. Reinero

diegoareinero

I gave an informal talk in @TessaWestNYU lab about the process of applying for summer internships as a (psych) grad student. It's application season, so I'm sharing my slides here

Adrien Peyrache

apeyrache

Bayesian decoders. I really enjoyed my first discussion with the groups I am mentoring @neuromatch #NeuromatchAcademy. However, it seems that Bayesian decoders sound magic to many. It’s not! 1/ First:

😷 Will Gervais 😷

wgervais

Gives Shits, Not FucksTheir research is dope. But they wont jam it down your throat. They call out toxicity, even among in group elites. Apparent shitposts are actually evidence-based eviscerations.

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