#BAYES

Jonas Svensson

jaralaus

Some thoughts on optional stopping methods, inspired by tweet from @Lakens https://twitter.com/lakens/status/1354427078368784388?s=20. The cast (in order of appearance): Sequential Bayes Factors (SBF), Sequential Probability Ratio Test (SPR

Tivadar Danka

TivadarDanka

Mean Square Error is one of the most ubiquitous error functions in machine learning.Did you know that it arises naturally from Bayesian estimation? That seemingly rigid formula has a deep

Dustin Tran

dustinvtran

Snippet 1 from the #NeurIPS2020 tutorial: @balajiln What do we mean by uncertainty and out-of-distribution robustness? https://nips.cc/virtual/2020/tutorial/16649 Snippet 2: On even simple benchmarks, neural networks are not only poor at

ChristosArgyropoulos

ChristosArgyrop

Let's analyze the dialysis case from yesterday. We need to know : a) the SAR (Secondary Attack Rate) of COVID19 for household transmission (pt had largely sheltered in, so could

Michael C. Frank

mcxfrank

On the "stats in psycholinguistics debate" (aka "back to ANOVA?"), I get the frustration. It's totally annoying to have to work to understand the vagaries of Stan rescaling and convergence

😷 Will Gervais 😷

wgervais

The Varieties of Twitter Academics1/? The Trendchaser.Something big just happened in the world? They’ve already got a preprint about how their underspecified pet theory about Last Year’s Thing is *also*

David Laing

davidklaing

There are lots of great resources that help data scientists land their first job, or learn about specific subjects. But I haven't seen any that focus on long-term professional development.

Conor Barnes

Ideopunk

100* TIPS FOR A BETTER LIFEI love advice threads so I decided to make my own, inspired by @yashkaf's from last year. If you know a source for an unsourced

Iris van Rooij 💭

IrisVanRooij

Now (re)reading: "How computational modeling can force theory building in psychological," by @o_guest and @andrea_e_martin (2020/in press, Perspectives on Psychological Science). https://psyarxiv.com/rybh9/ 1/n "The in

oli

oliphantly

There's a bunch of grants surfacing for Scottish and UK companies, so I thought I'd collate some of them here: Made Smarter - £20k for prototype/£100k for MVP to work

The Cosmist Insurrection, Inc. ™

yungneocon

I’m going to a very basic thread on criminology & statistics, to illustrate a point about why police & prisons suck so hard. If a trait is very rare in

Zero HP Lovecraft

0x49fa98

The quokka is a meme animal that lives on Bald Island on the SW coast of Australia, where it has no natural predators. If you visit this island, it will

Dr. Simon ツ

goddeketal

1/: There is a phenomenon that can be observed right now and addresses victims that most likely died due to the measures. These victims, in turn, are used to justify

Sonic #ClafoutisGate

Sonic_urticant

[THREAD]1/L'incitation à se faire TESTER est très forte, et les tests sont de plus en plus disponibles.Je vous propose un petit thread pour comprendre les histoires de "FAUX POSITIFS", de

Return on Capital

CapitalTalk2

In college, I was a behavioral economics major. Those classes taught me more about investing than any finance class ever did. Today I want to share some of the things

Josh Wolfe

wolfejosh

1/ Here is a public version of Lux's Q3 Letter to LPs"Do Good Things"...https://medium.com/lux-capital/do-good-things-32b3e9365913 2/ In preview, we hold the minority view that this moment in time is not––in the

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