Put to one side for a moment whether or not you believe the current lockdown to be justified. It is simply unconscionable for scientists & politicians to be appearing in the media this weekend calling for even *more* restrictions on the grounds that the lockdown is not working. https://twitter.com/cricketwyvern/status/1348258832246583302
First, given the lag from infection to symptoms, we currently have NO data at all to tell us what has happened to infections, hospitalisations or deaths since the lockdown came in.
Second, we now have good evidence that infections nationally are falling. The evidence is particularly strong for London & suggests they are coming down quite fast. Obviously there is a lag before that can show up in hospitalisations and deaths.
We will start to see early data on post-lockdown infections this week. Who knows what they will show.
Let's hope they don't indicate infections have stopped decreasing. If they do, it would of course be evidence against the current lockdown, not in favour of *more* restrictions.
Let's hope they don't indicate infections have stopped decreasing. If they do, it would of course be evidence against the current lockdown, not in favour of *more* restrictions.
There is simply no case based on current data to suggest further restrictions are needed for infections to fall.
Scientists/politicians should know the data & have no excuse for pushing this nonsense. Journalists have no excuse for not challenging anyone who does.
Scientists/politicians should know the data & have no excuse for pushing this nonsense. Journalists have no excuse for not challenging anyone who does.