Fact: Biden won the presidency winning 85% of counties with a Whole Foods and 32% of counties with a Cracker Barrel - the widest gap ever.
Here's the breakdown of Whole Foods/Cracker Barrel counties won by past new presidents (all based on today's store locations):
1992: Clinton 60% WF, 40% CB = 20% gap
2000: Bush 43% WF, 75% CB = 32% gap
2008: Obama 78% WF, 36% CB = 42% gap
2016: Trump 22% WF, 74% CB = 52% gap
1992: Clinton 60% WF, 40% CB = 20% gap
2000: Bush 43% WF, 75% CB = 32% gap
2008: Obama 78% WF, 36% CB = 42% gap
2016: Trump 22% WF, 74% CB = 52% gap
In this context, it's a remarkable achievement that Biden was able to reverse some Dem erosion in Cracker Barrel counties (i.e. places that tend to decide Midwest swing states).
There's no guarantee a future Dem w/ a different profile could hold the line in Erie, Saginaw, etc.
There's no guarantee a future Dem w/ a different profile could hold the line in Erie, Saginaw, etc.
For those asking, yes: I'm including counties with *both* stores in both columns. Here's the full breakdown by county type...Biden won:
- 95% of counties w/ just a Whole Foods
- 77% w/ both a Whole Foods & Cracker Barrel
- 18% w/ just a Cracker Barrel
- 12% w/ neither
- 95% of counties w/ just a Whole Foods
- 77% w/ both a Whole Foods & Cracker Barrel
- 18% w/ just a Cracker Barrel
- 12% w/ neither
And here's the share of U.S. voters who live in each of these types of counties:
~29% in the 119 counties w/ both Whole Foods & Cracker Barrel
~29% in the 2,520 counties w/ neither
~23% in the 83 counties w/ just a Whole Foods
~19% in the 391 counties w/ just a Cracker Barrel
~29% in the 119 counties w/ both Whole Foods & Cracker Barrel
~29% in the 2,520 counties w/ neither
~23% in the 83 counties w/ just a Whole Foods
~19% in the 391 counties w/ just a Cracker Barrel