For those who believe interventions mitigate COVID deaths and not natural events like community immunity or size of susceptible population, please give me a plausible interpretation of these.... I've modelled all 314 local areas so I take requests...
@lcbrown62 - method explanation. Deaths by date and place of occurrence by local authority (ONS). Segmented linear regressions plus 1 standard deviation to establish local baselines. Measurement of "excess" death to compare to reported COVID deaths. No excess means label suspect.