The US is reporting over 2000 deaths per day from Dec 1 and I believe will do so consistently throughout December based on daily case loads above 120k starting early November. 1/4 https://twitter.com/trvrb/status/1326404894954283008
A drop in reporting over Thanksgiving weekend has made for some difficulty in directly comparing 7-day averaged deaths, but the trend is clear. Red bars are daily reported deaths from @COVID19Tracking and black line is 7-day sliding average. 2/4
The simple projection of 1.7% of reported cases into deaths 22 days later has remained largely accurate, although drop of reporting during Thanksgiving weekend is quite clear. We'll know soon whether 7-day average returns back to projection. 3/4
Today's 210k cases is a new record. If trend continues as it has, it's likely that ~3500 of these individuals will succumb to their disease and these deaths reported later in the month. 4/4 https://twitter.com/COVID19Tracking/status/1334661580064239616
You can follow @trvrb.
Tip: mention @twtextapp on a Twitter thread with the keyword “unroll” to get a link to it.

Latest Threads Unrolled:
Those who think consciousness raising & movement building are disconnected, or even a distraction from electoral politics have not paid attention to the history of social change.In this thread, we
Read more
The 2020s will be known as the Remote Work decadeA few predictions of what is likely to emerge[ a thread ] Third Space: Office and Working from Home will
Read more
1/29: Have you ever had a concept explained to you that helps frame complex issues you’ve been wrestling with and opens your eyes to new possibilities? A concept that I
Read more
By continuing to use the site, you are consenting to the use of cookies as explained in our Cookie Policy to improve your experience.