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If anyone thought that Kamala Harris's addition to the ticket would boost the Black share of the electorate closer to '08/'12 levels after a major dip in '16...it's pretty clear now from the county-level data that didn't happen.
To be sure, metro Georgia stands out as a place where there was real Black turnout growth '16-'20, but the bigger numerical shift was suburban ATL whites defecting from Trump.
And turnout was relatively flat '16-'20 in Milwaukee, Philadelphia, Detroit, rural Black counties etc.
And turnout was relatively flat '16-'20 in Milwaukee, Philadelphia, Detroit, rural Black counties etc.
Take Petersburg, VA, which is 79% Black and routinely votes over 85% Dem. Number of votes cast in...
2008: 15,540
2012: 15,908
2016: 13,786
2020: 14,118
...even though its population has declined just ~3% the last decade & turnout skyrocketed nationwide in '20.
2008: 15,540
2012: 15,908
2016: 13,786
2020: 14,118
...even though its population has declined just ~3% the last decade & turnout skyrocketed nationwide in '20.
