Since July, coinciding with increased PCR testing, there is an unusual uniformity to the official regional COVID death curves that is not apparent in the regional excess death curves, strongly suggesting an artefactual relationship.

To test this hypothesis, I generated an “excess” COVID death curve to represent the true measure of COVID impact on mortality. I derived this curve from the excess death that could not be explained by other causes.

This derived excess death curve correlates strongly with the ONS death measures during the epidemic but breaks down in October, whereas the PCR+ death curve does not correlate with the ONS curves during the epidemic but does now.

During the epidemic, by definition a “widespread” event, all regions experienced a co-ordinated rise in excess mortality, expanding upwards. But in October, only the North West and Yorkshire are in excess, and the expansion is down, not up.

Other significant factors include mention of acute respiratory infection (pneumonia), high ratio of excess over 65s death, tendency towards 50:50 sex ratio, tendency away from deaths at home to deaths in hospitals and care homes.

These factors clearly indicate that the epidemic was over by the end of May (3 to 4 weeks before the end of excess COVID death and factors on 19th June). Everything since is very localised.

Crucially, the October COVID deaths can be identified to local outbreaks in the North West and Yorkshire that have already expired. There is no growth, let alone exponential growth as purported by the PCR+ curves.

This model is sensitive enough to identify small, local outbreaks in the South East on 21-Aug, 11-Sep and 2-Oct which were missed by the epidemiological strategies and not significant enough to register in the national excess death.

In addition to obscuring the identification of outbreaks that might have led to the prevention COVID deaths, the government’s non-pharmaceutical interventions have caused in the region of 25,000 excess deaths from other causes.

For a detailed explanation of what’s going on here, please join my seminar next Thursday. https://www.oldfieldconsultancy.co.uk/oldfield-consultancy-and-kuinua-seminar-series/
Or wait for @FatEmperor to cover it! Thank you.