It's seven weeks since Pretend SAGE told us that there'd be at least 20k more deaths by April at current rates of infection, even without a second wave.
https://www.independentsage.org/20000-more-could-die-by-april-at-current-rates-of-infection-even-if-no-second-spike/
That implies 74/day, though Sir David King went on Sky News and rounded it up to 27k, or 100/day.
https://www.independentsage.org/20000-more-could-die-by-april-at-current-rates-of-infection-even-if-no-second-spike/
That implies 74/day, though Sir David King went on Sky News and rounded it up to 27k, or 100/day.
Many people (including me) told them their sums didn't add up, but the 20k figure is still on their website, and I'm not aware that King has retracted his 27k number.
In the subsequent seven weeks there have been 871 deaths (794 in England, 7 in NI, 5 in Scotland, 65 in Wales) https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/deaths which is 18/day. Still, what's a factor of 4 or 5 between friends?