4 months of the US pandemic
1st reported death Feb 29th, now >152,000 deaths
1. Phase 1, no testing capacity, rapid spread, ascension to 30,000 cases
2. Phase 2, an 80-day plateau, 20-30,000 cases and ~2,000 deaths per day
3. Phase 3, a 3X surge of cases, new plateau 60-70K/day
4. The more than doubling of deaths from 500-> >1,000/day in the past 3 weeks during Phase 3
Much (case surge and deaths), if not all, could have been avoided by following reopening guidelines (down to ~10/million cases as in EU, #TestTraceIsolate) prior to reopening
5. The real number of Americans infected is not 4.5 million now, but more than 37 million (>11.5%)
https://covid19-projections.com  @youyanggu
—The number of people experiencing #LongCovid is substantial and unknown
—Each person who died has lost an average of 11 years of life
You can follow @EricTopol.
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