1. The divergence of new US cases and deaths continues. Today >33,000 cases and ~700 deaths ( @COVID19Tracking). To review, this is the superimposition of the curves from yesterday clearly showing the marked divergence and when it started

2. The reasons for the divergence aren't not resolved but include protection of high-risk older individuals, shift to infections in younger, more testing/ milder cases, and better treatment (least likely). Reviewed well by @nataliexdean https://twitter.com/nataliexdean/status/1275431828497879040

3. I worked with my friend @MaxCRoser today on a log-graph to show the simultaneous rate of change for these 2 metrics, which he developed @OurWorldInData. The divergence accentuates in early June

4. Where are we headed from here?
With 7 states at new heights today for cases and hospitalizations, https://www.washingtonpost.com/nation/2020/06/23/coronavirus-live-updates-us/
and the 3 shown here with most increase per million population, it doesn't look favorable

5. We're clearly headed to a new pandemic peak in cases in this reopening phase. It was great to see the fatalities markedly decline. The big question is what happens in the next few weeks. An inauspicious look, and we're just (feebly) meandering through the 1st wave.