Here is some context on TX hospitalization data.

On March, @JudgeClayJ explained that if we did nothing, TX would peak at 600k+ hospitalizations in April.

The red curve.

https://www.dallasnews.com/news/public-health/2020/03/22/dallas-county-residents-ordered-to-stay-home-as-new-shelter-in-place-rules-are-put-in-place/?outputType=amp

If instead we pursued a strategy of traditional mitigation, this would push the peak to May and lower it—but it would still exceed 200k.

This would overwhelmed our hospital system capacity (~50k).

Yellow curve.

Finally, if we lock down for three months—then our hope would be to push our peak to July and have a fighting chance of staying under capacity. Blue curve.

It is mid-June. We are at 3k hospitalized.

Also worth keeping in mind our mortality.

As @Jenkins explained, if we merely mitigated (which is what we have done), then we would be on track for 400k deaths.

It is mid-June. We are currently at 2k deaths.