#unhackthevote
Cambridge Analytica
Fake News
Bots
and the Swing States
You need to see these numbers!!
We didn't have a chance!!
Thread
Cambridge Analytica
Fake News
Bots
and the Swing States
You need to see these numbers!!
We didn't have a chance!!
Thread
Obviously there was an all out effort to manipulate who voted during the 2016 Election.
We were besieged with Fake News, Bots, Data Mining and Micro Targeted Ads
Wherever we turned we got Fake news
Whether it was TV, You Tube, our Social Media accounts or the Trump Campaign.
We were besieged with Fake News, Bots, Data Mining and Micro Targeted Ads
Wherever we turned we got Fake news
Whether it was TV, You Tube, our Social Media accounts or the Trump Campaign.
Cambridge Analytica had profiles of 50 Million US Citizens with up to 5,000 data points on each.
They ran targeted ads on Facebook.
They used Twitter to analyze sentiment data looking at responses to Keywords.
They ran targeted ads on Facebook.
They used Twitter to analyze sentiment data looking at responses to Keywords.
We know it had an affect.
Lets look at some numbers.
Lets look at some numbers.
Since this election was won in the Swing States and Margin of victory is all that matters lets start there.
Lets talk about Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin.
In Pennsylvania Trump won by 44,292 votes
In Michigan Trump won by 10,704 votes
In Wisconsin Trump won by 22,748 votes
In Pennsylvania Trump won by 44,292 votes
In Michigan Trump won by 10,704 votes
In Wisconsin Trump won by 22,748 votes
We need to understand one of the problems we have when analyzing the possibility of a changing of our vote it only takes a very small change in numbers happening in many places to alter an election.
Lets start in Michigan
Michigan has approximately
5001 precincts
949 voters per precinct
83 counties
57,180 voters per county
Michigan has approximately
5001 precincts
949 voters per precinct
83 counties
57,180 voters per county
These are large states with a large amount of counties and a huge amount of precincts.
If a relatively small number of events happened at a precinct level, an amount that would on its own draw no attention to itself the actual result of these small events when looked at on a County or State Level becomes quite concerning.
Lets start with a what if.
What if all of the factors working against us Targeted at Clinton Voters had the affect of convincing only 10 Clinton Voters per precinct to decide not to cast a ballot.
A number that would not particularly draw much attention to itself.
What if all of the factors working against us Targeted at Clinton Voters had the affect of convincing only 10 Clinton Voters per precinct to decide not to cast a ballot.
A number that would not particularly draw much attention to itself.
Lets also say that since a Vote that is flipped actually counts as two votes any would be Clinton voter that switched to Trump would create a 2 for 1 difference.
In this case merely 4 Clinton Voters staying home and 3 Clinton Votes switching to Trump would make up the 10 vote difference per precinct.
How would that have affected the total results in Michigan?
This is where it gets nuts
If 10 Voters per precinct either didn’t vote for Clinton or 4 didn’t vote and 3 flipped
That would have been 10 x 5001 precincts for a total of 50,010 Votes!!
This is where it gets nuts
If 10 Voters per precinct either didn’t vote for Clinton or 4 didn’t vote and 3 flipped
That would have been 10 x 5001 precincts for a total of 50,010 Votes!!
A 50,010 Vote difference!!
The State was won by a mere 10,704 Votes
That would have made Clinton the winner by a margin of 39,396!!
The State was won by a mere 10,704 Votes
That would have made Clinton the winner by a margin of 39,396!!
Lets make it even crazier.
In Michigan if only 3 Clinton Voters per precinct decided not to cast a ballot. Only 3!!
Clinton would have lost 3 Votes X 5001 Precincts or 15,003 Votes
Enough to have won the State by 5002 Votes!!
In Michigan if only 3 Clinton Voters per precinct decided not to cast a ballot. Only 3!!
Clinton would have lost 3 Votes X 5001 Precincts or 15,003 Votes
Enough to have won the State by 5002 Votes!!
If Only One Clinton Voter Per Precinct decided not to cast a ballot and one Clinton Voter per Precinct switched to Trump Clinton would have lost the same amount of votes 15,003.
Lets not forget that with all of this Detroit a hugely Democratic population had 87 broken voting machines and 75,000 uncounted ballots.
Do you think that with the news and data assault against us that it didn’t have the affect of changing the minds of 3 voters per precinct?
Who really won Michigan?
Who really won Michigan?
Lets go to Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania has approximately
9092 precincts
667 voters per precinct
67 counties
90, 513 voters per county
Pennsylvania has approximately
9092 precincts
667 voters per precinct
67 counties
90, 513 voters per county
Lets keep everything the same.
If 10 Voters either didn’t vote for Clinton or 4 didn’t vote and 3 flipped
That would have been 10 x 9092 precincts for a total of 90,920 Votes!!
A 90,920 Vote difference!!
If 10 Voters either didn’t vote for Clinton or 4 didn’t vote and 3 flipped
That would have been 10 x 9092 precincts for a total of 90,920 Votes!!
A 90,920 Vote difference!!
The State was won by a mere 44,292 Votes
That would have made Clinton the winner by a margin of 46,628!!
That would have made Clinton the winner by a margin of 46,628!!
And now check this out.
In Pennsylvania if only 5 Clinton Voters per precinct decided not to cast a ballot. Only 5!!
Clinton would have lost 5 Votes X 9092 Precincts or 45,460 Votes
Enough to have won the State by 1232 Votes!!
In Pennsylvania if only 5 Clinton Voters per precinct decided not to cast a ballot. Only 5!!
Clinton would have lost 5 Votes X 9092 Precincts or 45,460 Votes
Enough to have won the State by 1232 Votes!!
If Only Two Clinton Voters Per Precinct decided not to cast a ballot and Two Clinton Voters per Precinct switched to Trump Clinton would have lost 54,552 Votes!!
Enough to have won Pennsylvania by 9,092 Votes!!
Enough to have won Pennsylvania by 9,092 Votes!!
Do you think that with the news and data assault against us that it didn’t have the affect of changing the minds of 5 voters per precinct?
Who really won Pennsylvania?
Who really won Pennsylvania?
Last up is Wisconsin
Wisconsin has approximately
3627 precincts
797 voters per precinct
72 counties
40,149 voters per county
Wisconsin has approximately
3627 precincts
797 voters per precinct
72 counties
40,149 voters per county
If 10 Voters per precinct decided not to vote for Clinton or 4 didn’t vote and 3 flipped
That would have been 10 x 3627 precincts for a total of 36,270 Votes!!
The State was won by a mere 22,848 Votes
That would have made Clinton the winner by a margin of 13,422!!
That would have been 10 x 3627 precincts for a total of 36,270 Votes!!
The State was won by a mere 22,848 Votes
That would have made Clinton the winner by a margin of 13,422!!
And now check this out.
In Wisconsin if only 7 Clinton Voters per precinct decided not to cast a ballot. Only7!!
Or if only Two Clinton Voters didn’t vote and Two Clinton Voters flipped to Trump
Clinton would have lost 7 Votes X 3627 Precincts or 25,389 Votes
In Wisconsin if only 7 Clinton Voters per precinct decided not to cast a ballot. Only7!!
Or if only Two Clinton Voters didn’t vote and Two Clinton Voters flipped to Trump
Clinton would have lost 7 Votes X 3627 Precincts or 25,389 Votes
Enough to have won the State by 1232 Votes!!
If Only Three Clinton Voters Per Precinct decided not to cast a ballot and Two Clinton Voters per Precinct switched to Trump Clinton would have lost 25,389 Votes!!
Enough to have won Wisconsin by 2,541 Votes!!
If Only Three Clinton Voters Per Precinct decided not to cast a ballot and Two Clinton Voters per Precinct switched to Trump Clinton would have lost 25,389 Votes!!
Enough to have won Wisconsin by 2,541 Votes!!
Do you think that with the news and data assault against us that it didn’t have the affect of changing the minds of 7 voters per precinct?
Who really won Wisconsin?
Who really won Wisconsin?
We were attacked. From all sides non stop. As shown above the affect even looking at very small numbers has an overwhelming total affect.
In these Three Swing States if no more than Seven Clinton Voters per precinct decided not to vote or Three Decided not to Vote and Two flipped to Trump, Hillary Clinton would be the President.
What do you think?
What do you think?
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If you would like to help us fund our work visit http://www.unhackthevote.com