Read on Twitter
This is a key part of the argument for going to #ZeroCovid
If we do it, there is a good chance that we can reopen by early May.
@WeCanBeZero @ISAGCOVID19
1/ https://twitter.com/PantiBliss/status/1362489803527307264
If we do it, there is a good chance that we can reopen by early May.
@WeCanBeZero @ISAGCOVID19
1/ https://twitter.com/PantiBliss/status/1362489803527307264
So, some important questions
Can this be done at all?
Yes, see Laos, Vietnam, China, New Zealand, Australia, Atlantic Canada, for examples.
2/
Can this be done at all?
Yes, see Laos, Vietnam, China, New Zealand, Australia, Atlantic Canada, for examples.
2/
What does it mean?
1) Restrictions till numbers fall to zero, locally, or nationally
2) Aggressive public health measures - contact tracing, support isolation, ...
3) Fairly manage border
4) Hotel quarantine for travelers (not pilots, drivers sailors etc.)
3/
1) Restrictions till numbers fall to zero, locally, or nationally
2) Aggressive public health measures - contact tracing, support isolation, ...
3) Fairly manage border
4) Hotel quarantine for travelers (not pilots, drivers sailors etc.)
3/
What if it fails?
Worst case - we have a lot fewer cases, and a few more people working in public health.
Strong suppression happens before #ZeroCovid
4/
Worst case - we have a lot fewer cases, and a few more people working in public health.
Strong suppression happens before #ZeroCovid
4/
What if it succeeds?
We can open the domestic economy (largely) by May. This will save a lot of jobs and businesses
Health care gets more or less back to normal
Fewer people die or get seriously ill
5/
We can open the domestic economy (largely) by May. This will save a lot of jobs and businesses
Health care gets more or less back to normal
Fewer people die or get seriously ill
5/
How long will it take?
We suggested 10 weeks in our letter to the Taoiseach. This is possible, but it's not guaranteed. B.117 will be harder to manage than the older strains, but we *think* it can be managed. We have to do it right.
6/
We suggested 10 weeks in our letter to the Taoiseach. This is possible, but it's not guaranteed. B.117 will be harder to manage than the older strains, but we *think* it can be managed. We have to do it right.
6/
Will there be more cases once we get to zero?
Almost certainly.
We've seen it in many other countries.
We manage these fast and aggressively. May require local lockdowns - aim is to avoid any further national lockdowns.
Will we succeed? I hope so.
7/
Almost certainly.
We've seen it in many other countries.
We manage these fast and aggressively. May require local lockdowns - aim is to avoid any further national lockdowns.
Will we succeed? I hope so.
7/
Things are improving, but the improvement has slowed down.
Current government policy is strong suppression, and bringing in hotel quarantine and maybe more contact tracing. Needs to be strengthened, but moving in the right direction.
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Current government policy is strong suppression, and bringing in hotel quarantine and maybe more contact tracing. Needs to be strengthened, but moving in the right direction.
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