Reiterating: you're all wrong about electricity markets and they don't work like they think you do.
Source: Myself
Source: Myself
Start here if you want to understand what's going on in Texas. Think same cause as 2008 crisis. Bad risk modeling that would make @nntaleb
@financequant sad.
http://www.ercot.com/gridinfo/resource
@financequant sad.
http://www.ercot.com/gridinfo/resource
. @usufructionist market needs:
-realtime power supply (can I get a kwh at x price right now)
-capacity (can I get enough power + avoid grid being underpowered)
-frequency (can I keep grid at 60 hz)
-reserves/peakers (can I respond to sudden, massive demands for capacity)
-realtime power supply (can I get a kwh at x price right now)
-capacity (can I get enough power + avoid grid being underpowered)
-frequency (can I keep grid at 60 hz)
-reserves/peakers (can I respond to sudden, massive demands for capacity)
Where Ercot went wrong:
-Not enough reserves. Don't build a levee to the highest previous flood, build it beyond by a significant amount...and compensate regardless of deployment
-Diversification: NEED Nuclear and Moar Batteries
-Realtime pricing has somewhat failed here.
-Not enough reserves. Don't build a levee to the highest previous flood, build it beyond by a significant amount...and compensate regardless of deployment
-Diversification: NEED Nuclear and Moar Batteries
-Realtime pricing has somewhat failed here.
-electrical heaters need demand response systems like A/C so sudden surges could have been mitigated at source
There's more but these steps could have likely prevented worst of it. Demand response for electric beaters alone could have curtailed this
There's more but these steps could have likely prevented worst of it. Demand response for electric beaters alone could have curtailed this
-also Stem Power stock should be shooting up (disclosure I have a personal friendship w CEO)