age is often a major aspect of dynasty that is overvalued in dynasty.

what’s ACTUALLY important is understanding how to strategize and value age at each position

⬇️A THREAD⬇️

(retweets extremely appreciated)
figuring out what peak production age is for a player is very important in the dynasty realm. if you are able to sell a player at his highest value before the decline in production, you are making moves to create a lasting dynasty 🏆

but what are these peak production ages?
from 2010 to now, 42 different RBs eclipsed a PPR of at least 250. excluding RBs who could technically still peak we get a sample size of 30

of these 30, the average age of peak production was 24.57 with the oldest peak being 28 (Lynch, Sproles, and Forte)
using the same time frame for WRs, 31 different receivers eclipsed 280+ PPR

the average peak age of production came to 26.63 but was much more scattered compared to RBs. WRs didn’t have nearly as steep of a production decline

the oldest peak was Brandon Marshall at 31 YO
of all positions, TE might be the most difficult to assess. 23 different TEs achieved a score of 200+ PPR

most of these were outliers from their career production, while also having a very scattered age at which they peak

the peak age of production for TEs is inconclusive 🎰
QBs can produce at nearly any age and clearly have the longevity that other positions lack

35+ is when the market value begins to decline on QBs but that doesn’t usually correlate with their production

2020 MVP - 37 YO
2017 MVP - 40 YO
2016 MVP - 31 YO
2013 MVP - 37 YO
how do you use this information ?

RBs - the abstract goal is to recycle through peak production and sell to acquire another RB yet to hit their peak production. repeat 🔁

EX: 26 YO Kamara ➡️ Swift + Pick
27 YO Henry ➡️ Akers + Pick
WRs - once a receiver hits elite value around 28-29, SELL ‼️ a lot of receivers peak around 28 or 29 while the average peak is 26.63, but the market doesn’t reflect as if they are an outlier to peak production

EX: 29 YO Adams ➡️ Moore + Player + Picks
TEs - OVERPAY 💰💰 for consistent producing TEs. TEs that produce for multiple years are essentially an outlier in the TE landscape. meaning they are invaluable assets to hold

EX: Hopkins + Late 1st ➡️ Kittle

i don’t care about “losing” a trade when acquiring an elite TE
QBs - don’t get cute and try to acquire the youngest QBs for dynasty purposes. Tom Brady was winning people their fantasy championships at 43, Rodgers was carrying fantasy teams at 37. enough said 😎

hope this information was somewhat useful for you 🚀

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