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There's a lot of fascinating stuff in @TheBFPG's epic survey on British foreign policy, but I'm most struck by the split in Conservative voting base, esp following 2019 election
43% of Tory-Remainers travelled in 2020 vs. 18% of Tory-Leavers
https://bfpg.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2021/02/BFPG-Annual-Survey-2021.pdf
43% of Tory-Remainers travelled in 2020 vs. 18% of Tory-Leavers
https://bfpg.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2021/02/BFPG-Annual-Survey-2021.pdf
BFPG also reports a massive patriotism gap among voters: 75% of Conservative voters described themselves as patriots compared vs. 38% for Labour voters.
Report also says there is a 'Corbyn effect': 70% of Labour switchers to the Tories called themselves patriots.
Report also says there is a 'Corbyn effect': 70% of Labour switchers to the Tories called themselves patriots.
European identity is also split between parties: 74% of Lib Dem voters identity as European vs 66% of Labour voters vs 32% of Tories.
But younger Tories are much more likely to identify as European than their older counterparts + those who switched to the party in 2019.
But younger Tories are much more likely to identify as European than their older counterparts + those who switched to the party in 2019.
More on identity: 57% of Tory voters identify as British, 46% as English.
67% of Labour identify as British, 29% as English
49% of Labour->Tory switchers identify as English
67% of Labour identify as British, 29% as English
49% of Labour->Tory switchers identify as English
The Conservative voting coalition also has very different views on foreign policy:
17% of Tory-Leavers take pride in the military
19% of Tory-Remainers take pride in human rights and democracy
17% of Tory-Leavers take pride in the military
19% of Tory-Remainers take pride in human rights and democracy
Tory voting coalition also has sharply different views on Britain’s top ally:
14% of Tory-Remainers say the EU vs of 2% Tory-Leavers
Overall, a quarter of Tory voters say the US is our main ally, 21% say the Commonwealth.
14% of Tory-Remainers say the EU vs of 2% Tory-Leavers
Overall, a quarter of Tory voters say the US is our main ally, 21% say the Commonwealth.
Foreign policy is just one area where the Tory voting coalition is going to be tested: tax rises, public spending, infrastructure and culture are all split between new vs old base.
If Britain had an effective Orange Book liberal party, Johnson would be seriously worried.
If Britain had an effective Orange Book liberal party, Johnson would be seriously worried.
