I don’t agree with the lab hypotheses at the end of the article but the first part walks a layperson through how likely it is for a SARS virus to emerge outside of its typical spillover zone and moreover in the city housing China’s most prolific SARS lab. https://www.independentsciencenews.org/commentaries/why-china-and-the-who-will-never-find-a-zoonotic-origin-for-the-covid19-pandemic-virus/

Some have said that location is the only factor pointing at lab leak - this isn’t true imo and can discuss - but location can be an extremely defining clue.

If someone drowned in a desert, you wouldn’t wave it off by saying that people are drowning frequently around the world.

Yet I’ve seen this misunderstanding even among people with scientific training - that SARS viruses spillover near Wuhan all the time. All published & reported evidence points away from this. Up till SARS2, Wuhan was such a SARS-free zone it was used as a negative control by WIV.