Something is not making sense - why not wait for two more months when you enjoyed Ladakhi winter for five months? What exactly was that trigger because of which China buckled? I can think of only two things - an imminent insurrection in Ladakh, a potential palace coup in Beijing.
We can understand that Ladakhi winter is not something for these Dong Chong Xia Cao collectors who come for short excursions and there is massive unrest in the camps. Did an ultimatum go - either aim for an orderly retreat or wait for desertion at a unit level?
Make no mistake, never China fared well. Post Galwan, China sacked it's Theatre Head. The most potent military force China fielded after 1980 is stopped in it's tracks in all theatres. Loss of face on one side, soldier mutiny on the other - one need not be surprised
if there is actually an mutiny in the ranks. Climate is impossible, facilities are non-existent and trekking is uncommon in that vehicle based infantry. Veni Vidi Vici is what they aimed for, Veni Vidi Verti is what they got.
On the other hand, what's happening in Beijing, is there any way to know? Did the Big CCPooh hear of rumours of an insurrection and called his men back? In fact, this is much worse a defeat than 1987 which led to Tibet Uprising and ultimately Tianmen -
In 1987, India was the invading force and here, China is. When a passive Chinese force led to execution of Chengdu and Lhasa command heads and a swift uprising in Tibet and later events, what can a disastrous military defeat do to the Chinese?
If it is really the talk of an insurrection of Xitler called his men back, how is he going to tackle the fallout of this disaster? On the other hand, it's too early to presume anything - they haven't vacated the other theatres but they have given India access to G219 which is
at it's nearest across the Fingers at Pangong Tso. The other possibility is this is the retreat of water before the eventual tsunami which will drown everything in it's wake but in an era where satellite surveillance is massive and when the body language of the retreating
troops doesn't inspire much confidence, where and when is the Chinese hammer blow going to hit Indian positions? And how? All we need to do is wait and watch - will the Chinese retreat from other theatres without throwing tantrums or
are they using this retreat as a cover to attack in force or if there is actually an insurrection, whose fallout will be seen in Beijing. But, China has got one advantage as compared to 1987. The 1987 defeat occurred near Tibetan population centres - Lhasa, Shigatse and Nygichi.
This time, it's in some godforsaken land with a population density of 31 per 100 sq km. No one will even know Chinese army faced it's biggest defeat there after 1980 Vietnam War. Will Xitler go berserk, will he throw the towel or will he wait for a chance - time will tell.
And remember, they came to separate North Ladakh from Ladakh and what did they get? A humiliating retreat without achieving anything. Are we saying that the lobby against the Crown Prince of South China Sea is not noticing these events with glee?
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