Up to 70% deadlier—UK govt advisors now says the #B117 variant might be 30-70% more severe/deadlier than old strains.

The lower female risk also eroding—hospitalization now ~50:50 male-to-female ratio (compared to more men during 1st wave).
#COVID19 https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2021/2/15/uk-study-finds-kent-variant-may-be-70-more-deadly

2) The results of the group’s analysis are worrisome, said David Strain.
“The higher transmissibility means that people who were previously at low risk of catching COVID (particularly younger fitter females) are now catching it and ending up in hospital,″ Strain said.

3) Earlier last month it was speculated to be just 30-40% more severe & deadly. Now they have upgraded it. https://twitter.com/drericding/status/1352667284364521475

4) Some dismissed the “speculation”, but I reviewed the epidemiologic data carefully... and it was pretty slam dunk that the increased severity was damn real. Out of 10 studies, 7 agreed, especially the stronger prospective cohorts. https://twitter.com/drericding/status/1353468238773035008

5) Here is the main conclusion statement of the NERVTAG expert group. Though they still emphasize the absolute risk is still overall, it’s still in the same order of magnitude as regular COVID
https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/961042/S1095_NERVTAG_update_note_on_B.1.1.7_severity_20210211.pdf