1/4 Covid-19: A positive thread:
Now v Peak Ireland
📉14-day incidence: 292 v 1,508 28/28 in EU, now 14/28
📉5-day case ave: 835 v c7,000
📉7-day test positivity: 5.7% v 25%
📉Hospital < 900 v c2,100
📉ICU 160 v c220

Global cases: 400k v 845k
Huge drop in India. Virus burn out🤔
2/4 A positive thread:
• Pfizer, Az, Moderna EMA approved, J&J likely to follow in 2-4 weeks
• Pfizer + Az appear to reduce transmission levels, all appear to reduce deaths and hospitalizations dramatically
• Sputnik V? EMA could approve?
• Novavax early results look v good
3/4 Positive thread
• Initial rollout slow due to supply
• Pfizer supply to increase soon following plant upgrade
• Moderna supply to increase mid-Feb
• Az just started and large volumes from Q2
• J&J from say late March 50k to 75k per week
• Poss supply from UK in May?
4/4 Positive thread:
• Vaccine updates to deal with mutations could take just 6 weeks to develop
• Lockdown, fatalities, sickness all have been awful
• May onwards things should be much better
•Hope this thread balances some of the negatives, it’s just my armchair take!
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