#SundayMorningThoughts
My next set of Clubhouse invites are "BNPL will kill credit cards"
TLDR answer:
BNPL is simply the cutting out of VISA/MasterCard by demand powerhouses like Shopify/Square/etc.
There's no magical better rates. They don't make credit cards look evil.
My next set of Clubhouse invites are "BNPL will kill credit cards"
TLDR answer:
BNPL is simply the cutting out of VISA/MasterCard by demand powerhouses like Shopify/Square/etc.
There's no magical better rates. They don't make credit cards look evil.
Q1. Is ur business model predicated on merchants giving u a cut ?
So how much pricing power do u have between cost of capital vs merchant pound of flesh?
Think Shopify & Amazon here...not small sites.
And remember Affirm had to pay billions in stock warrants to Shopify.
So how much pricing power do u have between cost of capital vs merchant pound of flesh?
Think Shopify & Amazon here...not small sites.
And remember Affirm had to pay billions in stock warrants to Shopify.
Q2. Is ur business model predicated on customer interest payments ?
Then are u following non-usurious credit practices ? Doesn't seem like it in BNPL today.
I don't understand the math on how credit revenue BNPL is cheaper than a CC.
Only ONE possibility https://www.politico.eu/article/klarna-payment-firm-scrutiny-buy-now-pay-later-business/
Then are u following non-usurious credit practices ? Doesn't seem like it in BNPL today.
I don't understand the math on how credit revenue BNPL is cheaper than a CC.
Only ONE possibility https://www.politico.eu/article/klarna-payment-firm-scrutiny-buy-now-pay-later-business/
BNPL is a fixed tenure loan. No revolving. Ergo it's cheaper. Absolutely nothing new here. Any loan is cheaper than a credit card cos of the lack of revolving flexibility.
So is there a set of customers who choose BNPL fixed loans vs
1. Revolving CC credit
2. Bank fixed loans
So is there a set of customers who choose BNPL fixed loans vs
1. Revolving CC credit
2. Bank fixed loans
Q3. If ur doing BNPL as revolving, it's not cheaper. Take a look at popular BNPL rates from Affirm (the most successful BNPL?).
Oh and @rshevlin fantastic article on BNPL psychology. Did u know 43% of BNPL users miss their payments? https://www.forbes.com/sites/ronshevlin/2020/11/22/the-24-billion-buy-now-pay-later-battle/
Oh and @rshevlin fantastic article on BNPL psychology. Did u know 43% of BNPL users miss their payments? https://www.forbes.com/sites/ronshevlin/2020/11/22/the-24-billion-buy-now-pay-later-battle/
However BNPL takes great pains to get regulatory arbitrage. And that is one of the key factors.
For e.g. BNPL doesn't need a lending license. And we don't need to report to bureaus.
So can you deny BNPL on the basis of religion/caste/gender? https://twitter.com/richardturrin/status/1333395884277719040?s=19
For e.g. BNPL doesn't need a lending license. And we don't need to report to bureaus.
So can you deny BNPL on the basis of religion/caste/gender? https://twitter.com/richardturrin/status/1333395884277719040?s=19
Oh also, this is a game that credit cards can play too.
Take a look at JP Morgan Chase's "no interest. Just a monthly fee" credit card.
Ultimately, as a customer you have to calculate the total you paid for your purchase. No automatic "interest is evil"
https://www.chase.com/personal/credit-cards/mychaseplan-hub
Take a look at JP Morgan Chase's "no interest. Just a monthly fee" credit card.
Ultimately, as a customer you have to calculate the total you paid for your purchase. No automatic "interest is evil"
https://www.chase.com/personal/credit-cards/mychaseplan-hub
So we come back to power of merchants controlling demand. Completely see why they want to own the stack & cut out networks.
how does this play out in long run?
I still think the Affirm-Shopify way
Pay the devil it's pound of flesh. But credit is too complex to be unspecialized
how does this play out in long run?
I still think the Affirm-Shopify way
Pay the devil it's pound of flesh. But credit is too complex to be unspecialized
So as a lending/card startup - that's what you try & balance.
"Titanomachy" of Shopify vs VISA/MC
Where do u sit? Do you think you can pull off a pound of flesh deal with Instagram?
Or do you pay your network tax & quietly build customer side first?
P.S. I have a third answer
"Titanomachy" of Shopify vs VISA/MC
Where do u sit? Do you think you can pull off a pound of flesh deal with Instagram?
Or do you pay your network tax & quietly build customer side first?
P.S. I have a third answer
One of the coolest, super long things u should watch is JP Morgan's genius payment analyst Tien Tsin Huang's call on valuing payments inside software. And the power of Shopify.
Before it gets taken down.
https://markets.jpmorgan.com/research/email/l42ivjop/mNkRV3AhL-vo86tgAZE8oA/KAL-1-IK898436
Before it gets taken down.
https://markets.jpmorgan.com/research/email/l42ivjop/mNkRV3AhL-vo86tgAZE8oA/KAL-1-IK898436
And bringing an India context here - the OCEN is an interesting play here. It doesn't eliminate BNPL pound of flesh - you still need to pay to get inside a Shopify.
It just makes integration easier. Very helpful for banks like HDFC
who seem to be technically challenged.
It just makes integration easier. Very helpful for banks like HDFC

