“If the vaccine rollout is the final stretch of the battle against COVID - will the previous mistakes be forgiven? Will Britain's success in obtaining and administering jabs be remembered more than the failures over test and trace, care homes and supplying our doctors with PPE?”
Or on lockdowns, where Prof Niall Ferguson told me: “You just need to look at the data – well over half of the people who died in this pandemic in this country have died in the last eight weeks. If you lock down earlier, you don't suffer the same deaths”
The recency effect is a cognitive bias where the most recent event or argument is remembered more clearly. But for it to work on vaccines, they must be the last thing to happen. And in reality, there will be other more long lasting consequences of Covid
The economic hit (the worst slump since the Great Frost or 1709.) Or the consequences on non Covid health care like cancer. Not to mention teenagers spending hours in front of screens or a generation of young children told to be fearful of close contact with others.
The scars of COVID-19 will be felt for many years to come. The success of the vaccine rollout is unlikely to be the last chapter in the story – and the eventual judgement of the UK's response to the pandemic is yet to come.
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