Read on Twitter
R(t) by province, Feb 12. As @jm_mcgrath noted yesterday, Ontario hasn't managed to get below 0.7 previously, but we are actually there outside GTA right now, and we're at 0.75 in case data today.
Here are estimates from inside and outside GTA, based on inflation for reporting lags and back-estimation of transmission dates. We are at a level right now that would avert a 3rd wave from VOC. But you can't sustain this based on voluntary action and no support.
That's obviously foolish; if we have a March wave, it will cost billions of $, precipitate reactive restrictions, and kill people. The major source of deaths will be (very full) ICUs, as we should now have pretty good protection of most in LTC.
In this light, the Premier should be paying attention to @DorisGrinspun. Schools before businesses, keep working hard to bring case counts down. https://twitter.com/RNAO/status/1359505760980512772?s=20
A bit of tenacity would bring the province to a place where far lower case counts, the arrival of spring weather, and ever increasing vaccine availability diffuse this crisis without another major death event.
Support people with the hoarded $$ billions, help the province through this. Have the courage to stand up to your powerful friends. Actually do something "for the people", for a change.
