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Let me explain why I believe the SNP have taken the Indy poll to around 50%

IMHO this is multi faceted

There has been a nationalist movement in Scotland for years. It gained traction in the 80’s due to two events. Oil and Thatcher

The oil revenues in the 80’s pointed
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towards a possible different future for Scotland. The money generated was enormous but the money went south

This created a sense of anger that somehow we had been cheated

The other was Thatcher. The deindustrialisation of Scotland began in the early 80’s. The blame, and
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some of that blame was correctly attributed, was all put on the Thatcher Government

The main beneficiary though wasn’t the Nationalists, it was Labour

Nationalism subsided again until devolution arrived. Labour wanted to cement their stranglehold of Scottish politics.
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Unfortunately all they did, as Tam Dalyell predicted, was hasten their own demise

The hatred that the Labour movement had, and continues to have, for Tories was simply coopted by the Nationalists

Add in the 800 years of unwarranted grievance towards the English et voila
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You have the perfect storm

This only explains parts of the rise of the Nationalists. Hate can only carry you so far

The next trick was finance. We had been cheated and cheated big time

Anyone who has ever been cheated out of money knows that the scars run deep
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You never forget it. Money is hard to earn. Being cheated out of it burns your soul

This was the Nationalists Trump card

We’ve been cheated. We’ve been robbed. It cut deep in the already damaged Scottish psyche

If only we hadn’t been cheated we would be better off and
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richer. We’d all be much much happier. Think of all the things Scotland could have had if we hadn’t been cheated

Unfortunately for the Nationalists it never happened. We weren’t cheated and we weren’t robbed

It’s a great myth and one the Nationalists continue to use to this
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day, but it never happened

The explanation as to why it never happened is too long for this thread. You can find a good gist of it in my blog. https://edwardthomasblack.blogspot.com/2021/01/lies-damned-lies-and-statistics.html

We can’t undo 800 years of myths, grievance and legends overnight but one thing we can do is expose the
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very lies that the Nationalists continue to promulgate

I’ve said this many many times

Every single nationalist I know, without exception, truly truly believes that England is stealing our money

Even the super smart ones that I know also believe this. You’d think that it
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would be easy to just have a look at the accounts to check but all they then say is that the accounts are false

We’re never going to change this around big time by trying to convince that Nationalists that England isn’t stealing their money

The only way to do this is to
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confront nationalist politicians. Put them on the spot. Don’t let them get away with prevarication or sidestepping the issue

Hammer them on the finances. Even when we’ve hammered them, hammer them even more. And when we’ve got them on their knees with nowhere to hide,
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hammer them again

In my personal opinion the blood and soil nationalist vote is no more than 25-30%. These people are gone. They have to come to their senses in their own good time. Many of them would live for decades in mud huts and gruel if only Scotland could be
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Independence

That’s not our target. Our target is the low paid worker who thinks riches lie around the corner for them if Independent

The School teacher who believes they’ll get a massive salary increase and a great pension if Independent

The public sector worker who
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thinks that services will massively improve if Independent

In the last 7-8 years I haven’t seen a single interviewer, in print, tv or radio challenge the SNP ruthlessly on finance

I’m not talking about a 2 minute sound bite but a full 30-60 minutes of non stop financial
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analysis of Scotland’s finances

That’s where the battle will be won. This presumes that the SNP doesn’t self implode

No amount of scandal or cheating or lying has effected their vote

Why?

Because they’ve convinced enough people that we’ll all be rich if Independent
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This is only going to happen, in my opinion, in two ways

Either an interviewer/journalist manages to hammer away at the SNP (I’ve seen scant evidence of any journalists that have the financial knowledge to do this) or the opposition politicians
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They have even less financial nous than the journalists, which is saying something

We can never out nationalist the Nationalists so there’s no point in trying

Scots will never willingly vote to be poorer but they’ll only ever know that if the journalists or politicians
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manage to get through to them. You have to put the nationalist politicians on the spot and paint them into a corner so that they have nowhere else to go but to admit what we already know

They’re slippery people but if we’re to succeed it needs to be done and done now
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