COVID-19 cases and deaths are declining in the European Union. However, this progress could easily be reversed. Details in this thread 🧵⤵️
Given that vaccination levels remain relatively low and new variants are spreading, daily deaths could surge again in the spring if contact increases, even among vaccinated individuals. People who are vaccinated can still spread COVID-19.
To prevent future outbreaks, the best policy tools include scaling up vaccines rapidly and equitably, expanding mask use, and social distancing mandates.
Find details on the data in our COVID-19 projections by browsing our policy briefings. We have briefings for @WHO regions, select countries, and state-by-state for the US. http://www.healthdata.org/covid/updates 
You can follow @IHME_UW.
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