Let's talk 49ers 2021 offseason, so far they've re-signed Jeff Wilson Jr. to a 1yr $2.05M deal, Ken Webster to a 1yr $850K deal, & Taybor Pepper to a 2yr deal(unsure of structure, counts at least $920K in 2021 & $1.035M in 2022), so I have them at $23,756,419 if the cap is $185M
Now obviously it'll go down with each signing, I'm guessing Moseley gets the 2nd Rd RFA tender($3.384M), Harris Original Rd RFA Tender($2.133M), Brunskill $850K ERFA tender, that's $6.367M but it'd really be $4.387M since 3 players making $660K would not count against top 51 rule
So, the 49ers would then be at around $19,369,419 in cap room before they decide on what to do with Dee Ford & Weston Richburg, they could add an additional $8,903,232(due to top 51 rule) by cutting them in March, that's depended on Dee passing a physical, since he has $11.6M GTD
On April 1, 2021. So if they did that, they'd then have $28,272,651 in cap room entering FA, with of course Trent Williams, Kyle Juszyzck, K'Waun Williams, Kerry Hyder Jr., & Jason Verrett as the main 5 players they should try and retain. They could do that with the $28.272M
By having super low cap numbers for all 5 in 2021, like $5.5M for Trent, $4.5M for Juice, $4M for Hyder, $2.5M for Verrett, & $7.5M for K'Waun, no that's not there APYs, I'd put them at $20M for Trent, $5.25M for Juice, $8M for Hyder, $8M for K'Waun, & $6M for Verrett.
If they did that, they'd be down to $7,572,651 in cap room, before deciding on Jimmy Garoppolo's contract, they may not have to redo it, and if they could get Dee & Richburg to take significant pay cuts, down to the minimum of $1.075M, that would save them $20.85M, so an extra
$11,946,668 on top of the $8.9M they'd save by just cutting them. That would put them at $19,519,319 in cap room, again this is using a $185M cap, which I'm hoping it ends up being at the minimum, they also need to decide on Armstead's $7.5M protected option bonus
Now if they exercise it, $1.5M gets added onto his cap numbers, it's already there for 2021, so it would go from 2022-2025, but 2025 is basically a dummy year, it voids if no deal is reached. If they don't exercise it, his $12.5M cap number goes up to $18.5M since the $6M gets
added to his base salary, he's GTD the $7.5M, that's why it's called a protected option bonus, it's something I'd do with Fred Warner & maybe Trent Williams, they did it with George Kittle. I'd also expect a deal for Trent would be similar to Kittle's in the guarantee date.
So the first 3 seasons of a 5yr deal for Trent would be GTD IMO, and then 4th yr would have some GTD money, but it would become GTD on April 1 of the previous season, like Kittle has. It's something new that the 49ers never did before Kittle's extension.
It could also happen with Warner, as for Fred, I'd extend him at 5yr $18M a yr deal, $15M signing bonus, same as Kittle got, only taking away $3M in cap room, along with a protected bonus in 2022, but that would leave the 49ers with $16,519,319 before signing their draft picks or
any outside FAs, or any of their lower end FAs, like Blair, Grasu, Johnson, Garland, etc.... I didn't include Josh Rosen & Nick Mullens, as I'm not 100% sure what Rosen's status is, he's either a RFA, which would be a $2.133M tender, or $850K ERFA tender, Mullens wise, I think
They may tender him, and maybe try and deal him for a mid round pick, or sign him to a 1yr $920K deal. Also I left out Ross Dwelley, as I don't know what they'll do, I'm leaning towards the $2.133M original round tender, but we'd get nothing if we lost him, same with Mullens
Due to the fact that they were UDFAs. Moseley was too, but no way they don't tender him at 2nd Rd level, & Harris would net a 6th, but I'd love to see them extend those 2 to team friendly deals, same with pending UFA in 2022 Tarvarius Moore, who should be the future FS or SS IMO
If they tendered Mullens & Dwelley at the Original Rd, $2.133M, they'd go down to $13,573,319 in cap room. Rosen, again idk what he will be, a RFA or ERFA. I'd also try to get Dwelley signed to a extension team friendly low money deal, like Moseley & Harris.
Now, I can see them bringing back Grasu & Johnson on 1yr vet minimum deals, which would cost just $850K. I'd also like to see Beathard back on a similar vet minimum deal, Blair & Garland wise, I can see them at 1yr $2M max, Bourne wise, $2.5M a yr max. That would add up to $9.05M
But again, take away players making less, likely Grasu, Beathard, & Johnson wouldn't even count against the top 51 by then, so it would really be just a loss of $6.5M(lower with top 51, likely $850K each, so $3.95M), leaving them at $9,623,319 before signing their picks.
And they didn't need to restructure anyone, not Armstead, Ward, or Garoppolo. Now of course, if the cap comes in at $175M, then we may have a problem, let's hope & pray the 2021 cap is $185M like some teams are expecting it to be.
I can confirm that Josh Rosen, according to a source, is a ERFA, and not a RFA, so his tender should be $850K, just like Brunskill's, so a no brainer in tendering him.
Also, I updated my website's 2021 cap page, and 2021 offseason plan/outlook, https://49erscap.com/index.php/2021-offseason-plan/.
You can follow @Jay_AB81.
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