At @baseballpro I wrote about how new PECOTA (redesigned in 2020) seems to do well with pitchers who beat their FIPs, such as Kyle Hendricks https://www.baseballprospectus.com/news/article/64405/2021-pecota-does-well-with-pitchers-who-beat-fip/

and @DolphHauldhagen helpfully also wrote today about *how* Hendricks is so good at beating his FIP, which is by suppressing hard contact, which he does in a host of ways but most obviously with superb location. https://blogs.fangraphs.com/the-superlative-kyle-hendricks/

Hendricks is just a blast to watch pitch. When he started in 2014 he seemed like such an inexplicable wonder, and now we're slowly getting the tools to figure him out, from EV/LA to measuring tunneling to SSW (which also may have something to do with his success)

it's going to be amazing and hilarious if, after two+ decades of baseball pursuing harder and harder stuff-throwers, it turns out there's a completely different repeatable strategy to good pitching that can be taught/trained/developed