Three new interesting polls on @EmmanuelMacron. The first from yesterday shows Macron (38%) ahead of Le Pen (30%) as the “person who would make the best president”. *But* Xavier Bertrand, Presdt of Hauts de France (north west) region not far behind on 29% 1/
This is imp, as Macron remains at risk of being forced out of two-candidate second round by the candidate from “traditional” centre-right. This poll shows that Bertrand is clearly emerging from the undistinguished centre-right pack. Rest – especially the Left – is nowhere 2/
The second and third are new Ipsos long range polls on next year’s presidential election are much better for Macron than the Harris poll last week (first round showed Le Pen just ahead, second round unpublished but leaked and showed Macron beating her by only 52-48) 3/
These Ipsos polls yesterday – though still very long range and dubious  – show Macron ahead in first round with 27% (three points up on 2017) Le Pen on 25% (4 pts up on 2017) and Bertrand on 14.5% 4/
Ipsos also did a second round poll – published this time - which showed Macron well ahead of Le Pen 56%-44%  (not as crushing as his victory in 2017 66-34) but actually better than one poll in 2020 (55-45) 5/
This is much more in line with Macron’s reasonable, recent positive ratings in the late 30’s and early 40’s, depending on the poll company. Poll links below ENDS
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