Beware poor statisticians speaking about statistics. Beware politicians even more. When you see a combination of the two walking toward you, turn, walk away slowly, and don't make eye contact.
An "outlier" as a concept is familiar to all of us. It's a data point that doesn't belong. It's unusual. It's weird. Here's the thing though, you can't just say, "oh, an outlier" and stop you enquiry like this bozo.
In a random distribution, outliers are not weird. They happen as a matter of course. In fact, much of statistics is concerned with determining just how often they happen, but none of that matters because we're not dealing with a random set of data.
We are dealing with an older and simpler concept: That of "apples" and "oranges." You see, most elections don't happen in a pandemic. This bozo included an April election to try and claim he had an orange in there, but it's actually a different kind of apple.
Because in April the Pandemic was still fairly new, and in any case, April elections aren't the same as November elections are they. So you can safely ignore that. The November election is an outlier not because of cheating or random variation,
but because it WAS DIFFERENT. The Pandemic was well understood, and the party that doesn't want you to die did a neat thing called "planning" where they gave additional instructions, ran an educational campaign, and devoted resources to ensuring
that people could vote by mail. In adult circles we call this "good sense," which unfortunately can be an outlier, but isn't cheating. Many people voted early, and because they did, they also had added time to cure any defects. You could check online to
confirm that your ballot was counted. If it wasn't, you had time to fix it. In a normal election, many absentee ballots are somewhat spontaneous. People have to travel for work. They forgot about a vacation. They wait to the last minute. There is not a pandemic.
In those circumstances we expect more votes to be disallowed, because the population isn't made up of responsible voters staying safe during a pandemic. It's made up of travelers, procrastinators, and old people. In fact,
the statistics shown above are entirely consistent with what voting in Wisconsin looked like. If the same percentage of votes as normal was disallowed, that would be evidence of fraud by conservatives, and in no way normal.
The tweet above was liked by Robin Vos and Dan O'Donnell, who are still trying to convince morons that the election was stolen even though it wasn't, and said morons attempted a coup last month. It is, unfortunately, easy to lie to idiots with statistics
So pay no attention to this nonsense. "Covid-19" is the outlier. You all know this intuitively. If a "normal" trendline existed, something would be wrong, because none of this is normal.