🔊 new technical briefing on UK variant🔊
From @PHE_uk

Highlights include:
✅ VOC1 now clearly the endemic strain UK
✅ Almost 💯 of cases in London and South East are VOC1
Brief synopsis on the mortality analysis of matched cohort SGTF data which showed
✅ 65 deaths among wild type cases vs 104 in UK variant cases
✅ Mortality risk ratio of 1.65 (1.21-2.25)
Updated secondary attack rate analysis NHS T&T data.

Yet more evidence of ⬆️ transmissibility.

✅ ~3 MILLION contacts analysed 😱
⬆️ 25-40% attack rate in SGTF cohort (866k contacts) (all ages, all regions)

Huge numbers narrowing that point estimate to ~1/3 more infectious.
⬆️ 11-55% attack rate in genomic cohort (37k contacts)

Smaller numbers, wider range but still mid-point around 1/3 more infectious
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