It was apparent from 1959 onwards that it would only be a question of “when” and not “whether” the Peoples Liberation Army 🇨🇳 would be unleashed on its counterpart in India 🇮🇳.
If 1962 was the year in which Mao had decided to “teach India a lesson”, it made sense to ensure that a reliable and friendly partner, the Burmese military, took charge in Rangoon from a civilian government that was more independent of Beijing.
The 2021 military coup in Myanmar has to be looked at in the context of the very possible preparations that are ongoing within the PRC military for a large-scale armed showdown on the border with India aimed at securing control of large chunks of our territory... .
Both the PRC as well as Russia (not to mention a much smaller power, Pakistan) understand that a full scope alliance between the members of the Quadrilateral Alliance would deny the Sino-Russian alliance what they seek, which is primacy over the Indo-Pacific.
The country getting the worst of a military contest over the Himalayan massif will endure severe shocks to its governance system, whether this be China or India.
The substantial sums of money that the PRC is earning through the surpluses of its trade with India every year is being used in an effort at funding the capabilities of the Pakistan military against India, as well as equipping the PLA for the same role.
In the chessboard of the strategy being developed by the Central Military Commission to ensure that the PLA does not get the worst of the impending conflict,taking control of Maynmar away from a civilian government committed to democracy is as important in 2021 as it was in 1962.
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