On the current MRC model IFRs, once we have vaccinated the over-70s the IFR falls to 0.15%-0.19% (upper bound assumes 30% higher lethality of new variant) if vaccines eliminate 90% of deaths. Once we've vaccinated the over-60s that drops to 0.12-0.15.+

There's absolutely no way we wld hv contemplated significant social distancing in 2020 for a disease with an IFR of 0.12-0.15%. So there's absolutely no way we shld consider maintaining material restrictions in place once we've vaxxed the over-60s. They must be phased out quickly

This talk of maintaining heavy restrictions into 2022 must be knocked on the head *immediately*. That cannot be allowed to be considered even a bad option.