1/ What is the #COVID19 situation like in Canada now?

Cases are down & the situation is improving in much of the country, but we still have a long way to go.

A few additional thoughts below...
2/ Most of the country has recovered from peaks in December or from a post-Christmas peak.

A few examples below Nationally & in AB, ON, QC.

Despite outbreaks in Eastern Provinces, cases still remain low there.

From: https://bit.ly/2Yul9qY 
2/ Most of the country has recovered from peaks in December or from a post-Christmas peak. A few examples below Nationally & in AB, ON, QC. Despite outbreaks in Eastern Provinces, cases still remain low there.From: https://bit.ly/2Yul9qY 
2/ Most of the country has recovered from peaks in December or from a post-Christmas peak. A few examples below Nationally & in AB, ON, QC. Despite outbreaks in Eastern Provinces, cases still remain low there.From: https://bit.ly/2Yul9qY 
2/ Most of the country has recovered from peaks in December or from a post-Christmas peak. A few examples below Nationally & in AB, ON, QC. Despite outbreaks in Eastern Provinces, cases still remain low there.From: https://bit.ly/2Yul9qY 
2/ Most of the country has recovered from peaks in December or from a post-Christmas peak. A few examples below Nationally & in AB, ON, QC. Despite outbreaks in Eastern Provinces, cases still remain low there.From: https://bit.ly/2Yul9qY 
3/ Long Term Care - a significant black eye for Canada, is also improving. We failed to protect our most vulnerable (twice!), but cases are rapidly declining, perhaps mirroring reduced community transmission, widespread vaccination, or both. https://twitter.com/NathanStall/status/1355165350103449605?s=20
4/ Vaccine programs are rolling out, clearly we need more vaccine, and there were missteps along the way, but they are rolling out & have targeted some of the most vulnerable among us.

Source: https://bit.ly/39tshtQ 
4/ Vaccine programs are rolling out, clearly we need more vaccine, and there were missteps along the way, but they are rolling out & have targeted some of the most vulnerable among us. Source: https://bit.ly/39tshtQ 
4/ Vaccine programs are rolling out, clearly we need more vaccine, and there were missteps along the way, but they are rolling out & have targeted some of the most vulnerable among us. Source: https://bit.ly/39tshtQ 
4/ Vaccine programs are rolling out, clearly we need more vaccine, and there were missteps along the way, but they are rolling out & have targeted some of the most vulnerable among us. Source: https://bit.ly/39tshtQ 
4/ Vaccine programs are rolling out, clearly we need more vaccine, and there were missteps along the way, but they are rolling out & have targeted some of the most vulnerable among us. Source: https://bit.ly/39tshtQ 
5/ #COVID19 control efforts are helping. Also, We are in mid winter, and it's cold as hell in much of the country, but as spring emerges & things warm up there will be fewer indoor exposures. That adds up at a population level and will also help to drive cases down.
6/ Additionally, we are expecting far more vaccine delivery in the spring (late March/early April). We are starting to see the early benefits of mass vaccination in countries such as Israel. We can reap those same benefits here. https://twitter.com/BogochIsaac/status/1355309010946240512?s=20
7/ Variants are circulating in Canada. Some are more transmissible (B.1.1.7). Current travel measures will reduce the likelihood that more are imported & conventional methods to control community transmission still work well.
Current vaccines are effective against this variant.
8/ Vaccines are not as protective against other variants of concern (e.g. the one discovered in South Africa) BUT they still provide decent protection & also protect against severe disease, hospitalization, death...you know...kind of important metrics. https://twitter.com/VirusesImmunity/status/1355149007220310019?s=20
9/ So where are we in Canada? Not as bad as some may say. Cases are dropping due to current control measures, vaccines are slowly rolling out & expected to work, weather will start to work in our favour soon & vaccination expected to ramp up significantly soon- seems pretty good.
10/ What can throw us off course?

*vaccines are not delivered as expected

*new variant emerges that significant reduces current vaccine efficacy

*we let up on our control initiatives too soon or too quickly
11/ And as always, it is important to:

*Stay humble - we don't have all the answers.

*Be open minded to new/emerging data & adapt policy in real time to reflect this.

*Balance proceeding cautiously with forward momentum.

*Keep BS đź’© detectors on at all times.
12/ I could be wrong, but given what we know about variants, vaccines & control initiatives, we are on the tail end of the pandemic & 2021 will continue to improve. Maybe another wave/wavelet if we let our guard down, but generally things will get better. Let's carry on.
Should probably add another point here. I don’t think COVID-19 is going anywhere anytime soon, I just think it’s impact in Canada will get lower and lower and lower throughout 2021. If we play it smart.
You can follow @BogochIsaac.
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