Read on Twitter
Best Everton Pre-Wildcard Differentials [Thread]
In this team preview I will run the rule over Everton’s fantasy options ahead of an enticing fixture run which sees the Toffee’s top the ticker over the next four.
#FPL #FPLCommunity
(Data taken from @FFH_HQ with consent)
In this team preview I will run the rule over Everton’s fantasy options ahead of an enticing fixture run which sees the Toffee’s top the ticker over the next four.
#FPL #FPLCommunity
(Data taken from @FFH_HQ with consent)
Season So Far:
On 21st December 2019, three time Champions League winner Carlo Ancelotti was appointed as manager of Everton. In his first season Ancelotti steadied the ship and steered Everton to 12th place with 49pts. In the summer Don Carlo strengthened the squad with the...
On 21st December 2019, three time Champions League winner Carlo Ancelotti was appointed as manager of Everton. In his first season Ancelotti steadied the ship and steered Everton to 12th place with 49pts. In the summer Don Carlo strengthened the squad with the...
addition of marquee playmaker James Rodriguez and midfield enforcers Allan & Doucoure. His new look Everton made light of their favourable schedule and started like a train with four wins on the bounce. A creditable draw against fierce city rivals & league champions Liverpool...
preceded a slump which saw the Toffees record just one victory in the next six games. However, despite the loss of key players through injury Everton have been on the rise with the Ancelotti’s pragmatic approach helping to grind out four wins from their last six league games.
Currently sitting in 7th place in the league on 33pts Everton top the Hub’s fixtures ticker (NEW, LEE, mun, FUL) over the next four when sorted by attack.
Tale of the Tape:
Everton:
In terms of threat over the last six matches (GW13-20) Everton rank (per game) 18th for shots (8.17), 17th for shots on target (3.00), 16th for shots in the box (5.00), and 18th for big chances (0.83). The Toffee’s dismal goal threat numbers...
Everton:
In terms of threat over the last six matches (GW13-20) Everton rank (per game) 18th for shots (8.17), 17th for shots on target (3.00), 16th for shots in the box (5.00), and 18th for big chances (0.83). The Toffee’s dismal goal threat numbers...
make for surprising reading considering their good results over that period. Looking at a similar period of good form (GW1-6) the contrast between these underlying metrics is stark with Everton ranked (per game) 11th for shots (11.67), 9th for shots on target (4.83), ...
10th for shots in the box (7.5), 4th for big chances (2.67). Comparing these periods Everton are better in every metric during GW1-6 with a significant difference in big chances. The decline in attacking output can be attributed to opposition strength and the loss of key players.
The absence of both Digne & Rodriguez has been particularly significant as during GW1-6 they created 58% of Everton’s big chances. Defensively over the last six matches the Toffees rank (per game) 13th for shots conceded (12.83), 7th for shots conceded in the box (7.17), and ...
6th shots on target conceded (3.33), and 5th for big chances conceded (1.17). Whilst these underlying numbers hint at a degree of defensive solidity Everton have managed just four clean sheets in the Premier League.
The Opposition:
On season data offensively both Manchester United & Leeds rank amongst the best in the division. Fulham sit around mid-table for underlying goal threat data but have failed to score in 5 of the last 8. Newcastle’s attack is truly tragic posting some of the ...
On season data offensively both Manchester United & Leeds rank amongst the best in the division. Fulham sit around mid-table for underlying goal threat data but have failed to score in 5 of the last 8. Newcastle’s attack is truly tragic posting some of the ...
worst numbers in the league and represent Everton’s best chance of notching a clean sheet. Newcastle have also failed to score in 5 of the last 8.
On season data defensively three of the next four (NEW, LEE, FUL) rank amongst some of the most porous in the division. It is ...
On season data defensively three of the next four (NEW, LEE, FUL) rank amongst some of the most porous in the division. It is ...
noteworthy that Leeds & Newcastle have weaknesses in both defending set pieces & the high ball – two areas that Everton are particularly strong. Furthermore, whilst Man United rank as more resolute they have a weakness for conceding big chances that the Toffee’s could exploit.
Player Watch
James Rodriguez:
When the well-travelled Colombian international rolled up at Goodison we could be forgiven for questioning whether his best days were behind him. However, Rodriguez rewarded the early bandwagon with 3 goals & 3 assists over the first 5 games.
James Rodriguez:
When the well-travelled Colombian international rolled up at Goodison we could be forgiven for questioning whether his best days were behind him. However, Rodriguez rewarded the early bandwagon with 3 goals & 3 assists over the first 5 games.
The former Real Madrid star's season totals are skewed by his time out through injury however he ranks joint 2nd amongst midfielders for big chances created per start (0.7). Rodriguez’s quality delivery and a share of set pieces make him a constant menace from the dead ball.
Capable of the sublime James likes a shot from outside the box and has scored twice from distance against West Brom & Leicester this term. Therefore, it is noteworthy that no team has conceded more goals from outside the box than GW22 opposition Leeds (8). Of Everton’s ...
attacking options James has shown the best recent form and owned by just 12 top 10k teams could provide a hot differential over the next four.
Lucas Digne:
Digne has recently returned to action having missed through injury since GW10. However, the Frenchman still ranks ...
Lucas Digne:
Digne has recently returned to action having missed through injury since GW10. However, the Frenchman still ranks ...
2nd amongst all defenders for assists provided (6). Looking at his underlying numbers for the period pre-injury (GW1-9) Digne ranks joint 1st amongst defenders for big chances created (5) and 2nd for successful crosses (17). He boasts significant dead ball threat with a share ...
of corners and free kicks. Therefore, it is noteworthy that no team has scored more headed goals than Everton (9) which is not surprising given the aerial threat of DCL, Keane, and Mina. The former PSG starlet is currently being deployed out of position on the left wing and ...
recorded 10 entries into the box against Leicester ranking joint top amongst defenders for that metric this gameweek. With rock bottom top 10k ownership, set pieces, and OOP appeal what’s not to love about Lucas Digne over the next four?
Dominic Calvert-Lewin:
The Sheffield native certainly lit the heather ablaze in the early part of the season. Ten goals in his opening nine games saw Calvert-Lewin earn senior England recognition and a debut goal against Wales. However, rather worryingly he is currently ...
The Sheffield native certainly lit the heather ablaze in the early part of the season. Ten goals in his opening nine games saw Calvert-Lewin earn senior England recognition and a debut goal against Wales. However, rather worryingly he is currently ...
without a league goal 7 games. This period of decline largely coincided with the absence of Digne & Rodriguez who between them created 80% of Everton's big chances in the first nine weeks (12/15). In the first 9 gameweeks Calvert-Lewin posted league leading underlying ...
numbers with DCL ranked 1st for shots on target (17) and 2nd for big chances (11). This favourable run of fixtures and the return of Everton's creativity could see a fit again Calvert-Lewin back amongst the goals. Furthermore, a goal scoring return in the FA Cup against ...
Sheffield Wednesday bodes well for DCL league goals in the near future.
Conclusion:
In conclusion, I feel that punting on Everton’s differential assets could prove very shrewd ahead of this favourable run of games for managers planning to use the second wildcard for DGW26.
Conclusion:
In conclusion, I feel that punting on Everton’s differential assets could prove very shrewd ahead of this favourable run of games for managers planning to use the second wildcard for DGW26.
A timely return to action & form for James Rodriguez bodes well for this period and his combination of goal & assist potential marks him out as a player with a high point ceiling. Whilst not exactly resolute in defence Everton face three of the division’s blunter attacks over ...
the next four. If Lucas Digne can combine attacking returns with clean sheets I believe he has the potential to top score all defenders over the next four. On fire at the start of the season Calvert-Lewin is enduring somewhat of a Premier League lean spell.
However, I back him to resume normal service due to the return of Everton’s key creators and the flimsiness of the opposition. I have selected him DCL ahead of Richarlison as the Brazilian, with only two league goals to his name this term, has flattered to deceive.
Furthermore, Everton have two games in hand (MCI, avl) and given the constant changes to the fixture schedule ownership of Toffees asset could future-proof your squad in the event of a hastily arranged DGW.
For those that have read, thank you.
If you like the content drop me a retweet.
If you aren’t a follower of mine click “follow” and keep an eye for more articles in the near future.
Peace & good luck for #GW21.
If you like the content drop me a retweet.
If you aren’t a follower of mine click “follow” and keep an eye for more articles in the near future.
Peace & good luck for #GW21.
