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Thread: New apprenticeships data released today gives us a first look at Q1 of the new academic year.
Good(ish?) news is that the fall in starts has eased slightly.
Decrease of "only" 28% between Aug and Oct, compared to 45% fall for Mar-Jul. https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/apprenticeships-and-traineeships-january-2021
Good(ish?) news is that the fall in starts has eased slightly.
Decrease of "only" 28% between Aug and Oct, compared to 45% fall for Mar-Jul. https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/apprenticeships-and-traineeships-january-2021
BUT, young people continue to bear the brunt of the damage.
The 42% fall for under 19s in Aug-Oct is less catastrophic than the 68% fall seen for Mar-July - but still catastrophic.
Likely the situation has deteriorated since the latest lockdown began.
The 42% fall for under 19s in Aug-Oct is less catastrophic than the 68% fall seen for Mar-July - but still catastrophic.
Likely the situation has deteriorated since the latest lockdown began.
Level 2 apprenticeships still down 43%.
Level 4+ actually grew (v slightly) year on year between August and October.
Level 4+ actually grew (v slightly) year on year between August and October.
Clear message is that a crucial first step into skilled work has disappeared for young people, even before the second major lockdown began.
What can be done?
What can be done?
The government has pinned its hopes on the app bonus scheme (£2k for under 25s, £1.5K for over 25s) to boost demand for apprentices.
The scheme runs from beginning of August to end of January.
Is it enough?
What does the data say?
The scheme runs from beginning of August to end of January.
Is it enough?
What does the data say?
As of 8th Jan, 18,670 apprentices were hired under the bonus scheme.
Even if we assume 100% of these wouldn't have happened without the bonus, this is just 22% of the estimated 84k starts lost between March and October - not even counting the loses between October and Jan.
Even if we assume 100% of these wouldn't have happened without the bonus, this is just 22% of the estimated 84k starts lost between March and October - not even counting the loses between October and Jan.
DfE will be lucky if it achieves 20% of the 100k starts it budgeted for.
This is why @CentreProPolicy has been calling for a much bigger incentive, equivalent to 50% of wages for all young apprentices.
Anything less is clearly not enough. https://www.progressive-policy.net/publications/reskilling-for-recovery
This is why @CentreProPolicy has been calling for a much bigger incentive, equivalent to 50% of wages for all young apprentices.
Anything less is clearly not enough. https://www.progressive-policy.net/publications/reskilling-for-recovery
Good to see @Jonathan_Moules give the app stats some national exposure in the @FT today.
We should be talking about what's happening to apprenticeship opportunities for young people a lot more! https://www.ft.com/content/e5b64f87-6f2b-3097-b04a-bb76c013a284#post-60041
We should be talking about what's happening to apprenticeship opportunities for young people a lot more! https://www.ft.com/content/e5b64f87-6f2b-3097-b04a-bb76c013a284#post-60041
Of course @FEWeek's @BillyCamden is always on the case. https://feweek.co.uk/2021/01/28/new-data-shows-improved-picture-for-apprenticeship-starts-amid-pandemic/
And excellent analysis from @kathleenhenehan in @tes @tesfenews here: https://www.tes.com/news/apprenticeships-why-new-starters-are-so-important
Worth also pointing out that the majority of under 19s start their apprenticeship in September.
So even though the %age fall was smaller, more apprenticeships for u19s were lost between Sept and Oct (16,900) compared to Mar-July (~12,000). https://twitter.com/andynorman810/status/1354835844402720771?s=20
So even though the %age fall was smaller, more apprenticeships for u19s were lost between Sept and Oct (16,900) compared to Mar-July (~12,000). https://twitter.com/andynorman810/status/1354835844402720771?s=20
