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Scotland is the key to the entire next 10 years of British politics... 1/ The SNP is approaching a decision point - if there's a pro indy majority at Holyrood in May, there's a clear legal justification for #Indyref2 https://www.newstatesman.com/politics/scotland/2021/01/why-english-left-should-not-stand-way-scottish-independence
2/ ... but there comes a point where it's either a giant string-along, without any intent to go for independence, or you stop talking about it and do it... but get real about the actual route... https://www.newstatesman.com/politics/scotland/2021/01/why-english-left-should-not-stand-way-scottish-independence
3/ The White Paper and the Growth Commission are from a different era. With Debt/GDP at 100%, 17% deficit, even on v favourable terms you don't achieve NZ/Denmark style capitalism without *class struggle*... that's the grand illusion of nationalism https://www.newstatesman.com/politics/scotland/2021/01/why-english-left-should-not-stand-way-scottish-independence
4/ I stand on the old Leninist/Wilsonian principle - the right of nations to self-determination: Scotland should have the right to a no-penalty exit from the UK. Period. https://www.newstatesman.com/politics/scotland/2021/01/why-english-left-should-not-stand-way-scottish-independence
5/ ... but there's an abject lack of realism about what independence means. EU membership means you can't attack wealth/power/privilege... Greece tried and it was a secure member already... https://www.newstatesman.com/politics/scotland/2021/01/why-english-left-should-not-stand-way-scottish-independence
6/ ... monetary vassal status to the Bank of England? Good luck with that at a time the Tories want to pour investment into the English Midlands, while Scotland is returning Trident to England... https://www.newstatesman.com/politics/scotland/2021/01/why-english-left-should-not-stand-way-scottish-independence
7/ The Labour and Tory attempts to deal with this are pathetic. Offer full federalism now, and a UK constitutional convention or stop wasting airtime. See @robertshrimsley in the FT... https://www.ft.com/content/edc5bd24-7824-4e29-84bc-3d0d0e436c61
8/ The rising Scottish generations are mesmerised by independence and EU membership, for progressive reasons. The only way that's not going to lead to indy is if the rest of the UK adapts to that... https://www.ft.com/content/edc5bd24-7824-4e29-84bc-3d0d0e436c61
9/ The English/Welsh left rightly sees that if the progressive Scottish working class does not want to be in the same polity as us, our strategy has to change completely... the Progressive Alliance will become the baseline, no more party sectarianism... https://www.ft.com/content/edc5bd24-7824-4e29-84bc-3d0d0e436c61
