Florida lifted *all* Covid-19 restrictions back in September.

California has remained in lockdown all along.

How long will governments pretend not to see this?

(1/5)

I have picked two states to illustrate my point. But I have not cherry picked.

AFAIK, every high-quality, peer-reviewed scientific paper statistically comparing actual death rates between jurisdictions has not shown them to be effective at saving lives.

(2/5)

Here is Leffler et al:

https://www.ajtmh.org/view/journals/tpmd/103/6/article-p2400.xml

(3/5)

Here is Siedner et al:

https://journals.plos.org/plosmedicine/article?id=10.1371/journal.pmed.1003244

(4/5)

Here is Riazi et al:

https://www.thelancet.com/journals/eclinm/article/PIIS2589-5370(20)30208-X/fulltext

(5/5)

Now of course, "absence of evidence of effect is not evidence of absence of effect." There is a lot of noise in these sample sets that epidemiologist have to filter out to try and find the signal.

That said, we are now a year into the pandemic and if the signal was there, I would expect it to have cut through the noise by now.