lol I'm even more pessimistic than this poll.
There's a good chance that lockdowns will become the new normal, at least until 2030 or so.
Our governments are a combination of weak and incompetent and will default to pressing "snooze" on #COVID19 until panic, then lockdown. https://twitter.com/robinhanson/status/1353323901988835328
There's a good chance that lockdowns will become the new normal, at least until 2030 or so.
Our governments are a combination of weak and incompetent and will default to pressing "snooze" on #COVID19 until panic, then lockdown. https://twitter.com/robinhanson/status/1353323901988835328
The problem is that it's hard to just "allow" herd immunity. When you let covid multiply, the body count rises and people get scared, so lockdown happens one way or another. https://twitter.com/nosilverv/status/1353462587703218176
Then lockdown fatigue sets in and people riot, and governments let covid multiply.
The infection curves will start oscillating - they already do to some extent.
The infection curves will start oscillating - they already do to some extent.