The threat is that Trump will create a third party, the "MAGA Party," effectively splitting and dooming the GOP.

Others have talked about calling it the Patriot Party.

As in: Nice little Republican Party you have there. It would be a shame if something happened to it. https://twitter.com/Mr_Hank_Scorpio/status/1353202522350084103
Quotation from the article⤵️

Convict me, and I'll destroy your party.

I'd like you to do us a favor, though.

The irony is that the Senate GOP failed to convict Trump when he tried to extort the president of Ukraine.

What's that they say about karma?

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/trump-republican-split/2021/01/23/d7dc253e-5cbc-11eb-8bcf-3877871c819d_story.html
Third parties work very effectively in the U.S. as spoilers.

It's pretty clear that George W. won in 2000 because Ralph Nader siphoned off enough left-wing votes.

And would Clinton have won in 1992 without Ross Perot siphoning off conservative votes? https://twitter.com/AndreaMalice/status/1353296530220986368
Another striking passage from this article is that this threat of this third party has GOP leaders "alarmed."

Their problem is this: Because they believe that loss at the polls will be catastrophic, they care only about winning the next election.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/trump-republican-split/2021/01/23/d7dc253e-5cbc-11eb-8bcf-3877871c819d_story.html
If you care only about winning the next election, you can't also care about doing what is right.

This may lead them to actually acquit Trump for inciting an attack on the U.S. Capitol-- a crime that was actually filmed.
It also means that the GOP will not be able to win elections for at least a few cycles while they regroup and reposition themselves as a center-right party.

There are minority communites in the US who tend to be traditionally conservative. . . https://twitter.com/AthansChristi/status/1353349953096208386
. . . but have been driven from the party by the GOP's embrace of white nationalists. You can't have a coalition of both minority communites and white nationalists.

The GOP has to be willing to lose a few elections while they regroup.

Will they?
Recall: When the Democrats embraced civil rights in the early 1960s, they knew they'd lose a few elections because they'd be losing one of their blocs of voters (white racists).

They embraced civil rights anyway because it was the right thing to do.
A particular bloc of voters were the core of the Democratic Party during the Confederacy and Jim Crow.

Now they're a majority of Republican voters.

They will not go away, nor will they suddenly fall in love with democracy and embrace diversity. https://twitter.com/doodahman55/status/1353352799615152133
Absolutely correct.

If they acquit Trump because of his threats, he'll ne empowered and continue trying to bully them.

If they convict him because of his threats, he'll continue trying to bully them. https://twitter.com/rkamicar/status/1353297758279454725
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