What’s my thoughts on a potential trade? For the 3 people who care, a short thread. https://twitter.com/garrethohl/status/1352829106530865152
1) Preface: I am biased. If anyone remembers me I was hyping up PLD’s numbers per draft, both public but also ones HockeyData had tracked on him. He was very, very good. Best play driver of all the top 100ish players we tracked, among other things.
I’m a long time fan, I guess.
2) A lot of the talk centres around PLD and Laine, and variations involving them: Laine+Roslovic-PLD, Laine-PLD, PLD+x-Laine-Roslovic. I think that structure makes sense, at least from Jets side of things.
3) That’s a player that wants out of WPG or a player in contract dispute. Jets strength is in W. Its weakness is D, then long term C depth (Stastny is a stop gap and Jets 4th C isn’t NHL level).
4) Analytically speaking, PLD > Laine thus far... but they impact the game very differently. Laine is as close as it comes to a PP cheat code and finishing talent. PLD is a play driver, shot differential savant.
5) Now what’s interesting is thinking of market value. The market tends to overvalue two things: finishing talent and young potential 1C/1Ds.
6) AKA hockey men will prefer a 5 win finisher over a 6 win defensive player. Hockey men will also prefer a 5 win centre over a 6 win winger.
I don’t deal public trade projections but wanted to point out that is an interesting thing to watch if Jets get PLD.
One question after I made it seem like PLD > Laine: what’s more likely to improve? PLD via finishing and/or even better shot metrics? Laine continuing his improvement in that department.
There’s risk the better player is either one.
You can follow @GarretHohl.
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