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Is this lockdown 3.0 as tough as lockdown 1?
Here are a few pieces of data from the @IndependentSage briefing which suggest that despite tackling a much more transmissible virus, lockdown is less strict, which might explain why we are only just keeping on top of cases.
Here are a few pieces of data from the @IndependentSage briefing which suggest that despite tackling a much more transmissible virus, lockdown is less strict, which might explain why we are only just keeping on top of cases.
Firstly, schools.
Respiratory infection outbreaks have increased since the new year.
Outbreaks in nurseries are as high as they were before Christmas.
Its similar story for SEN schools.
ONS data shows infection rate increasing in primary ...
Respiratory infection outbreaks have increased since the new year.
Outbreaks in nurseries are as high as they were before Christmas.
Its similar story for SEN schools.
ONS data shows infection rate increasing in primary ...
... and early years children.
Despite schools nominally being closed, attendance rates are 4 times higher in primary and secondary schools than they were in lockdown 1.
21% of children in primary school vs 4%
5% of children in secondary school vs 1%
Schools are, in fact, open.
Despite schools nominally being closed, attendance rates are 4 times higher in primary and secondary schools than they were in lockdown 1.
21% of children in primary school vs 4%
5% of children in secondary school vs 1%
Schools are, in fact, open.
Significant numbers of people are going work and respiratory illness outbreaks at workplaces have increased over the last couple of weeks.
ONS retail footfall, although lower than before lockdown and declining, is higher than it was in the first lockdown.
Worth bearing in mind that this is only a proxy measure for mixing.
Worth bearing in mind that this is only a proxy measure for mixing.
ONS mobility data showing overall mobility is up significantly in comparison to March levels.
More people on the roads.
Again worth remembering that this is only a proxy for mixing - we don't know precisely where everyone is going.
More people on the roads.
Again worth remembering that this is only a proxy for mixing - we don't know precisely where everyone is going.
In combination with communal worship, tradespeople/cleaners/nannies in homes, and support bubbles (all allowed, in a change to to last March's lockdown) it's not entirely surprising to see this lockdown has not been as effective at bringing R down.
