Last week, I posted some results from the ISCAP general-population panel showing a 2016-2020 pro-Trump shift among English-speaking Latino respondents--but no corresponding shift in partisanship.
I now have some new results on this to share...
1/ https://twitter.com/dhopkins1776/status/1349713786677112832
I now have some new results on this to share...
1/ https://twitter.com/dhopkins1776/status/1349713786677112832
With respect to levels, it's key to note that English-speaking Latinos in that general-population panel were markedly cooler on Trump even in October '20 than White Americans--36 vs. 48 on a 0-100 scale.
2/
2/
Still, with @EfrenPoliPsy and @cherylrkaiser, I collected additional panel data 2016-2018 via GfK/Ipsos tracking a different, population-based sample of Asian Americans and Latinos. This panel includes interviews in English and Spanish.
Are there shifts in 2016-18?
3/
Are there shifts in 2016-18?
3/
Short answer: yes.
In our 2016 waves, Latino respondents surveyed in Spanish were *much* cooler on Trump than either Asian American respondents or Latino respondents answering in English.
But by October 2018, the gap is gone. Still net negative, but not by as much.
4/
In our 2016 waves, Latino respondents surveyed in Spanish were *much* cooler on Trump than either Asian American respondents or Latino respondents answering in English.
But by October 2018, the gap is gone. Still net negative, but not by as much.
4/
Even 2016-18, views on Trump soften among our Latino respondents surveyed in Spanish.
Note, there is little comparable movement in party identification.
So the shift--whether driven by incumbency, changing salience of immigration, other factors--may be Trump-specific.
/end
Note, there is little comparable movement in party identification.
So the shift--whether driven by incumbency, changing salience of immigration, other factors--may be Trump-specific.
/end