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1/n
Thread
Analysis of the political and practical naiveté of scientists calling for a pan-European response to Covid19.
@ViolaPriesemann @EckerleIsabella @TheLancet https://twitter.com/TheLancet/status/1352196030545211392
Thread
Analysis of the political and practical naiveté of scientists calling for a pan-European response to Covid19.
@ViolaPriesemann @EckerleIsabella @TheLancet https://twitter.com/TheLancet/status/1352196030545211392
2/n
the majority of solutions proposed in the paper are not new. TTIS, masks etc.
they just hope implementation timing and coordination become better (earlier) and execution more efficient. Why would it? No answer.
Politics by its very nature is REactive, not proactive.
the majority of solutions proposed in the paper are not new. TTIS, masks etc.
they just hope implementation timing and coordination become better (earlier) and execution more efficient. Why would it? No answer.
Politics by its very nature is REactive, not proactive.
3/n
if you overload bureaucracies with tasks, NO task will be executed well and ALL effects will diminish.
focus on a few important tasks. less is more.
understand entropy, it's principles apply to governments and populations.
if you overload bureaucracies with tasks, NO task will be executed well and ALL effects will diminish.
focus on a few important tasks. less is more.
understand entropy, it's principles apply to governments and populations.
4/n onwards to the pan-European aspect
adding a layer of bureacracy will do what?
1. slower decision making
2. more compromise
3. wasting ressources due to equitable distribution compromises and hoarding
4. less political responsibility
5. the perfect scapegoat: other countries
adding a layer of bureacracy will do what?
1. slower decision making
2. more compromise
3. wasting ressources due to equitable distribution compromises and hoarding
4. less political responsibility
5. the perfect scapegoat: other countries
5/n besides politics, the legal issues:
"Europe" is not a legal entity, the EU is.
Before the EU acts, all vulnerable will be vaccinated.
The EU has NO legal basis for public health interventions and NO financing.
Switzerland, Norway, some Balkan states are not members.
"Europe" is not a legal entity, the EU is.
Before the EU acts, all vulnerable will be vaccinated.
The EU has NO legal basis for public health interventions and NO financing.
Switzerland, Norway, some Balkan states are not members.
6/n now the outright delussional proposal
they want to test every border crosser and quarantine every traveller from a hotspot. IMPOSSIBLE without destroying supply chains and cross-border economic regions. Inform yourself about the movement of trucks in Europe and daily crossing
they want to test every border crosser and quarantine every traveller from a hotspot. IMPOSSIBLE without destroying supply chains and cross-border economic regions. Inform yourself about the movement of trucks in Europe and daily crossing
7/n the aspect of vulnerability is mentioned in one paragraph. unfortunately, not a single solution is mentioned.
Has any of the co-authors published anything on that topic?
Has any of the co-authors published anything on that topic?
8/n finally and most importantly: does the virus care about coordination? apparently NOT.
Patterns of 2nd wave in Europe are NOT in synchronicity. https://twitter.com/CoronaReduit/status/1336673770975727616
Patterns of 2nd wave in Europe are NOT in synchronicity. https://twitter.com/CoronaReduit/status/1336673770975727616
9/n Summary: proposed solutions are impractical and would backfire since they would slow down and complicate measures.
focus on ressource availabilty (personnel and supplies, not money!) and executability/enforceability.
Europe is not a giant island.
focus on ressource availabilty (personnel and supplies, not money!) and executability/enforceability.
Europe is not a giant island.
