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Will Fuller has been one of the best WRs in the #NFL 
when healthy. His ranks in Def. Adjusted Yards Above Replacement are as follows:
2016: 13G / -15 DYAR / 78th
2017: 10G / 126 DYAR / 35th
2018: 7G / 180 DYAR / 21st
2019: 11G / 82 DYAR / 45th
2020: 11G / 826 DYAR / 8th
when healthy. His ranks in Def. Adjusted Yards Above Replacement are as follows:2016: 13G / -15 DYAR / 78th
2017: 10G / 126 DYAR / 35th
2018: 7G / 180 DYAR / 21st
2019: 11G / 82 DYAR / 45th
2020: 11G / 826 DYAR / 8th
His DVOA ranks are:
2016: -14.8% / 77th
2017: 17.6% / 12th
2018: 34.6% / 3rd
2019: 1.8% / 39th
2020: 41.2% / 1st
2016: -14.8% / 77th
2017: 17.6% / 12th
2018: 34.6% / 3rd
2019: 1.8% / 39th
2020: 41.2% / 1st
His health is a serious concern though. He has never played more than 14 games in a season, and has not played more than 11 games since his rookie season.
He was pacing 1,300 yards and 8 TDs on a 71% catch rate in 2020 prior to being suspended for PEDs in a contract year.
He was pacing 1,300 yards and 8 TDs on a 71% catch rate in 2020 prior to being suspended for PEDs in a contract year.
If we look at history of players who got suspended for PEDs at the WR position with the production level of Fuller, we really only find Julian Edelman, and Alshon Jeffery.
Edelman was 32 yrs old at the time, and has played in 34 of a potential 48 games since.
Jeffery was 26 yrs old at the time, and has played in 46 of a potential 67 games since.
Jeffery was 26 yrs old at the time, and has played in 46 of a potential 67 games since.
This makes me think that there is reason for caution around Fullers health. He may have been using the PEDs to get through a full 16 games because of it being a contract year. There is some evidence that a failed PED test at a young age can be a predictor of health.
Credit to @BShulkes for starting up the advanced stats convo on the upcoming FA: https://twitter.com/BShulkes/status/1351728993268019201?s=19
